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NBA Top Shot · Pack #470
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 3, Wave 2/2)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$375
Actual EV
—
≈ $32.22 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $375 ask
Typical Pull
$9.78
Grail premium $22.44 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $375 ask
FMV coverage
100%
122 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 30m ago
Packs remaining
30
of 3,411 minted · as of 30m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 30m ago0.9%unopened
Rare30 / 3,411 (0.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common150 / 17,055 (0.9%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 30m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 30 / 3,411 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 150 / 17,055 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 122 of 122 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$106
Recent Low
$89.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Russell Westbrook
Layup · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$34.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Dec 28, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$32.40
Recent Low
$36.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Chris Paul
Handles · Jan 10, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$43.98
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Paul George
Jump Shot · Jan 5, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$19.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
De'Andre Hunter
Dunk · Feb 21, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$14.40
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Collin Sexton
Dunk · Oct 30, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$14.25
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Aug 23, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Eric Paschall
Dunk · Jan 5, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Serge Ibaka
Dunk · Nov 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Eric Bledsoe
Assist · Nov 7, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$15.25
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Rudy Gay
Dunk · Jan 12, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$18.99
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Daniel Theis
Block · Jan 17, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Nemanja Bjelica
3 Pointer · Dec 10, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.006
Reggie Bullock
Steal · Jan 8, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Ish Smith
Steal · Feb 24, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.60
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Sep 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
RJ Barrett
Layup · Oct 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,882
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Duncan Robinson
3 Pointer · Oct 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,959
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017