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NBA Top Shot · Pack #471
With the Strip (Series 1, Wave 3/3)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$399
Actual EV
—
≈ $128 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $399
Typical Pull
$75.00
Grail premium $53.41 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $399
FMV coverage
100%
23 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
29
of 2,030 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago1.4%unopened
Rare29 / 2,030 (1.4%)
Common145 / 10,146 (1.4%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 29 / 2,030 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 145 / 10,146 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 23 of 23 (100%)LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$180
Floor
$153
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$102
Floor
$99.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$67.18
Floor
$66.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.069
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$47.25
Floor
$14.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$41.21
Floor
$40.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$33.63
Floor
$27.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.138
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$27.82
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 5.45%Wt 0.103
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.93
Floor
$15.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.069
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.25
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.069
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.138
Ky Bowman
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.069
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.29
Floor
$10.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.069
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.50
Floor
$9.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.138
Jimmy Butler
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.06
Floor
$8.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$9.09
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Fred VanVleet
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$7.43
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.172
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.30
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,532
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Marcus Smart
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 10.91%Wt 0.207
George Hill
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$6.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 14.55%Wt 0.276
Gary Harris
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$6.23
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Eric Paschall
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.46
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,257
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034
Caris LeVert
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.19
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.034