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NBA Top Shot · Pack #471
With the Strip (Series 1, Wave 3/3)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$399
Actual EV
—
≈ $42.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $399 ask
Typical Pull
$12.00
Grail premium $30.33 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $399 ask
FMV coverage
100%
94 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
28
of 2,030 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.4%unopened
Rare28 / 2,030 (1.4%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common140 / 10,146 (1.4%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 28 / 2,030 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 140 / 10,146 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 94 of 94 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Feb 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$168
Recent Low
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$82.00
Recent Low
$80.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
Jaylen Brown
Handles · Dec 25, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Zion Williamson
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Donovan Mitchell
Block · Oct 26, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Mar 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$16.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Nov 2, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Michael Porter Jr.
Dunk · Dec 30, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$9.18
Mint 1,530
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Jimmy Butler
3 Pointer · Dec 11, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Fred VanVleet
Steal · Feb 6, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.98%Wt 0.03
Ky Bowman
Steal · Jan 9, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
Marcus Smart
Steal · Nov 21, 2019
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.036
Marvin Bagley III
Dunk · Jan 16, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
George Hill
Steal · Nov 9, 2019
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.048
Ish Smith
Steal · Feb 24, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Dec 31, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.44
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 1.19%Wt 0.012
Josh Jackson
Steal · Mar 11, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Spencer Dinwiddie
Jump Shot · Nov 26, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,254
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018
Marcus Smart
Steal · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,527
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.018