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NBA Top Shot · Pack #472
Run It Back 2013-14 (Series 1, Drop 3)
Rare9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$750
Actual EV
—
≈ $496 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $750
Typical Pull
$327
Grail premium $169 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $750
FMV coverage
100%
36 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
42
of 2,475 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 18h ago1.7%unopened
Rare126 / 7,423 (1.7%)
Common252 / 14,850 (1.7%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 126 / 7,423 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 252 / 14,850 | 67% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 36 of 36 (100%)Tim Duncan
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$176
Floor
$148
Mint 275
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.19
Dirk Nowitzki
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$154
Floor
$135
Mint 275
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.095
Steve Nash
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$115
Floor
$93.00
Mint 275
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.095
Kevin Garnett
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$92.25
Floor
$90.00
Mint 275
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.071
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$89.99
Floor
$99.99
Mint 275
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Andrew Bogut
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$84.00
Floor
$71.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.143
Anderson Varejão
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$76.50
Floor
$90.00
Mint 275
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.19
Shawn Marion
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$53.17
Floor
$50.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.119
Paul Pierce
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$51.13
Floor
$36.00
Mint 275
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.19
Tony Parker
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$46.38
Floor
$37.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.119
Leandro Barbosa
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$37.67
Floor
$34.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.119
Chauncey Billups
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$36.38
Floor
$28.00
Mint 275
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Danny Granger
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$36.17
Floor
$30.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.119
Nick Collison
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$35.67
Floor
$31.00
Mint 275
Hit 4.27%Wt 0.119
Mo Williams
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$28.50
Floor
$26.00
Mint 275
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Roy Hibbert
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$27.60
Floor
$22.00
Mint 275
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.071
Chris Bosh
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$22.10
Floor
$26.00
Mint 275
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.143
Markieff Morris
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.00
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.095
Jameer Nelson
Run It Back
RARE1
FMV
$20.14
Floor
$17.00
Mint 275
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.071
Jakob Poeltl
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$19.80
Floor
$22.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Landry Shamet
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.78
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Langston Galloway
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.83
Floor
$16.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.048
Jarrell Brantley
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.095