What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #474
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 3/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$774
Actual EV
$266
Net −$508 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $774 ask
Typical Pull
$12.00
Grail premium $254 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.34x
-65.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $774 ask
FMV coverage
100%
191 editions
Depletion
86%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
211
of 1,492 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago14%unopened
Rare211 / 1,492 (14%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,055 / 7,458 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 211 / 1,492 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,055 / 7,458 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 191 of 191 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Nov 16, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$1,600
Recent Low
$1,581
Mint 299
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
LeBron James
Dunk · Feb 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$168
Recent Low
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Mar 12, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$143
Recent Low
$126
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Nikola Jokić
Handles · Dec 30, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$125
Recent Low
$123
Mint 1,430
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$82.00
Recent Low
$80.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Ja Morant
Dunk · Dec 12, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$58.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Nov 2, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$56.70
Recent Low
$63.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Kyrie Irving
Handles · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Handles · Dec 25, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Jarrett Allen
Block · Jan 8, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$32.49
Mint 299
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Zion Williamson
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Dunk · Nov 9, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$27.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
RJ Barrett
Layup · Oct 24, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$26.10
Recent Low
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.39%Wt 0.004
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Nov 21, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Devin Booker
Block · Nov 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Damian Lillard
Dunk · Oct 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Michael Porter Jr.
Dunk · Dec 30, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Anthony Davis
Dunk · Jan 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$20.50
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Mar 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$16.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Pascal Siakam
Block · Nov 11, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$16.38
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.006
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Dec 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$15.30
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.009