What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #474
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 3/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$774
Actual EV
$1,440
Net +$666 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $774
Typical Pull
$158
Grail premium $1,282 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
1.86x
86.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $774
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
86%
live pool
Packs remaining
211
of 1,492 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago14%unopened
Rare211 / 1,492 (14%)
Common1,055 / 7,458 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 211 / 1,492 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,055 / 7,458 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)LeBron James
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$1,774
Floor
$1,400
Mint 299
Hit 11.43%Wt 0.133
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$180
Floor
$153
Mint 1,000
Hit 4.49%Wt 0.052
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$132
Floor
$121
Mint 1,431
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.024
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$112
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.024
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$102
Floor
$99.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$90.00
Floor
$100
Mint 299
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.014
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.024
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$67.18
Floor
$66.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.014
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$47.25
Floor
$14.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$41.21
Floor
$40.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.024
RJ Barrett
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$38.70
Floor
$43.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.024
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$37.50
Floor
$37.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.033
Tyler Herro
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$36.60
Floor
$33.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.019
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$34.20
Floor
$38.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$33.63
Floor
$27.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.043
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$28.50
Floor
$28.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Pascal Siakam
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$26.33
Floor
$21.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.033
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$24.44
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 4.08%Wt 0.047
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$23.63
Floor
$22.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$23.08
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.043
Deandre Ayton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$21.25
Floor
$16.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$21.25
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Michael Porter Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$20.00
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.028
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.043