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NBA Top Shot · Pack #474
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 3/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$774
Actual EV
$1,309
Net +$535 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$152
Grail premium $1,157 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
1.69x
69.1% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
86%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
211
of 1,492 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago14%unopened
Rare211 / 1,492 (14%)
Common1,055 / 7,458 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 211 / 1,492 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,055 / 7,458 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)LeBron James
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$1,573
Floor
$1,850
Mint 299
Hit 11.67%Wt 0.133
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$156
Floor
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 4.58%Wt 0.052
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$130
Floor
$125
Mint 1,431
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.024
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$128
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.024
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$97.05
Floor
$81.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$71.17
Floor
$62.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.024
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$58.00
Floor
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.014
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$54.69
Floor
$52.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.014
Carmelo Anthony
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$43.50
Floor
$30.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.014
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$43.41
Floor
$36.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.033
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$40.36
Floor
$35.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.024
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$35.00
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$26.57
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$26.10
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
RJ Barrett
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$26.10
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.024
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$25.71
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.043
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$23.55
Floor
$19.00
Mint 1,256
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$22.38
Floor
$21.00
Mint 1,431
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.043
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.25
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$21.30
Floor
$20.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.047
Michael Porter Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$19.33
Floor
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.028
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$18.60
Floor
$13.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.038
Pascal Siakam
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.25
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.033
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$16.23
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.043