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NBA Top Shot · Pack #475
Eastern Conference Finals (Series 1)
Rare8 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$438
Actual EV
—
≈ $29.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $438 ask
Typical Pull
$9.60
Grail premium $19.73 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $438 ask
FMV coverage
100%
181 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
170
of 2,480 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago6.9%unopened
Rare170 / 2,477 (6.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,190 / 17,360 (6.9%)
Pull odds by tier
8 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 170 / 2,477 | 13% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,190 / 17,360 | 88% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 8 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 181 of 181 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Sep 27, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.01
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Sep 20, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Tyler Herro
Layup · Sep 27, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$19.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.014
Vince Carter
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.29%Wt 0.003
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Aug 23, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Andre Iguodala
Dunk · Aug 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Jimmy Butler
Steal · Sep 17, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Trae Young
Handles · Nov 6, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,978
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Sep 27, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Joel Embiid
Assist · Oct 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.60
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Sep 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Goran Dragić
3 Pointer · Sep 24, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Kemba Walker
Layup · Sep 24, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Marcus Smart
Assist · Sep 20, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Daniel Theis
Block · Sep 15, 2020
Eastern Conference Finals
RARESeries 1
FMV
$5.25
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 999
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Zion Williamson
Assist · Jul 30, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,642
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.007
Zach LaVine
3 Pointer · Nov 24, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 2,799
Hit 0.66%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Layup · Aug 23, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,486
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Aug 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,643
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008