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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4757

Freshman Gems Quick Rips, January 2025

Common3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$14.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

343

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

1,015

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$333

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$13.87

per pack we could price

Realized pull value

Realized $15.32 avg · $11.45 median · $25.50 p90

Realized pull value · 31 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 60% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jared McCain · Freshman Gems	RARE	33.34%	$30.67	44.5%
Bam Adebayo · Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	16.67%	$23.00	16.7%
Alexandre Sarr · Freshman Gems	RARE	16.67%	$21.25	15.4%
Anthony Edwards · Throwdowns

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $10.00 · 9mo agoRetail $13.00310 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$14.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Value ratio

—

EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

98%

pool · as of 25d ago

Packs remaining

396

of 18,066 minted · as of 25d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 25d ago

2.2%unopened

396 / 18,066 packs

Ultimate0 / 8 (0.0%)

Rare34 / 1,134 (3.0%)

Common1,154 / 53,056 (2.2%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 25d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Ultimate	0 / 8	0.0%	depleted
Rare	34 / 1,134	2.9%	~1 in 12
Common	1,154 / 53,056	97%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19

$14.00

What's Inside

pullable editions

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 5 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jared McCain	Freshman Gems	RARE	33.34%	$30.67	$30.67
Bam Adebayo	Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	16.67%	$23.00	$11.50
Alexandre Sarr	Freshman Gems	RARE	16.67%	$21.25	$10.62
Anthony Edwards	Throwdowns	RARE	16.67%	$18.41	$9.20
Jaren Jackson Jr.	Run It Back: Origins 2014-19	RARE	16.67%	$14.00	$7.00

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/27/2026, 7:25:33 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.