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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4757
Freshman Gems Quick Rips, January 2025
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.37 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.75
Grail premium $1.62 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
85 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 22h ago
Packs remaining
396
of 18,066 minted · as of 22h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 22h ago2.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 8 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Rare34 / 1,134 (3.0%)
8.6 per 100 sealed packs · launch 6.3 · 1.4× launch rate
Common1,154 / 53,056 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 8 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 34 / 1,134 | 2.9% | ~1 in 12 |
| Common | 1,154 / 53,056 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 85 of 85 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jared McCain
3 Pointer · Nov 23, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$35.50
Recent Low
$35.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Alexandre Sarr
Block · Nov 10, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Jan 8, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jaylon Tyson
Steal · Nov 21, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Rob Dillingham
Steal · Dec 16, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Jaren Jackson Jr.
3 Pointer · Dec 1, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Dec 7, 2023
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.25
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 150
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Ben Simmons
Handles · Apr 19, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jamal Shead
Steal · Dec 22, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Oso Ighodaro
Dunk · Dec 6, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Jonathan Mogbo
Dunk · Dec 20, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Yves Missi
Block · Nov 26, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Ryan Dunn
Block · Dec 29, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$12.98
Mint 199
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Cam Spencer
3 Pointer · Dec 9, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.04
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Devin Carter
Assist · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.04
Yuki Kawamura
Assist · Dec 30, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.88%Wt 0.049
KJ Simpson
Steal · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.04
Trentyn Flowers
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.04
Luke Travers
Block · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.63%Wt 0.046
Enrique Freeman
Block · Oct 25, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.044
Julian Champagnie
3 Pointer · Dec 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.036
Johnny Juzang
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.05
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.04