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NBA Top Shot · Pack #476
The Finals (Series 1)
Rare8 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$379
Actual EV
—
≈ $162 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $379
Typical Pull
$60.32
Grail premium $102 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $379
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
291
of 6,750 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 15h ago4.3%unopened
Rare291 / 6,749 (4.3%)
Common2,037 / 47,250 (4.3%)
Pull odds by tier
8 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 291 / 6,749 | 13% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 2,037 / 47,250 | 88% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 8 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)LeBron James
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$251
Floor
$233
Mint 750
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.12
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.052
Vince Carter
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$15.00
Mint 3,336
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.021
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$17.89
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.045
Dwight Howard
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$17.09
Floor
$18.99
Mint 750
Hit 4.40%Wt 0.103
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.034
Anthony Davis
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$14.40
Floor
$16.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.11
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$13.59
Floor
$11.00
Mint 3,524
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.052
Markieff Morris
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$9.20
Floor
$7.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.11
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$9.09
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.031
Kelly Olynyk
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.99%Wt 0.117
Bam Adebayo
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$8.25
Floor
$8.00
Mint 750
Hit 5.28%Wt 0.124
Goran Dragić
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$8.10
Floor
$9.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.25%Wt 0.1
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.67
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,978
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.052
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.58
Floor
$7.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.034
Andre Iguodala
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$7.54
Floor
$6.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.107
Anthony Davis
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.75
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,959
Hit 2.79%Wt 0.065
Jae Crowder
The Finals
RARE1
FMV
$6.58
Floor
$6.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.11
RJ Barrett
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.22
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,882
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.038
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.73
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.038
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.49%Wt 0.058
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$4.20
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,489
Hit 3.08%Wt 0.072
Jae Crowder
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.67
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,240
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.069
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$3.16
Floor
$2.00
Mint 3,289
Hit 3.37%Wt 0.079