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NBA Top Shot · Pack #477
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 4)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$699
Actual EV
—
≈ $74.51 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $699
Typical Pull
$70.02
Grail premium $4.49 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $699
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
34
of 1,560 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago2.2%unopened
Rare34 / 1,560 (2.2%)
Common170 / 7,800 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 34 / 1,560 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 170 / 7,800 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)Ivica Zubac
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.95
Floor
$27.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Markieff Morris
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.00
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Rajon Rondo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$21.33
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.088
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$20.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Jakob Poeltl
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$19.80
Floor
$22.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Duncan Robinson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$19.55
Floor
$23.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Dennis Schröder
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$16.20
Floor
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$16.19
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$15.80
Floor
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Landry Shamet
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$15.40
Floor
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Justin Holiday
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$15.30
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Jeff Teague
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$15.30
Floor
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Norman Powell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$14.50
Floor
$14.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$12.35
Floor
$8.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Jarrell Brantley
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$12.33
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Luguentz Dort
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$12.25
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Boban Marjanović
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$11.67
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.029
Jae Crowder
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.118
Patty Mills
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.088
Danuel House Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Delon Wright
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$9.75
Floor
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.72
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.088
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$7.39
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.059
Karl-Anthony Towns
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.118