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NBA Top Shot · Pack #477
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 4)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$699
Actual EV
—
≈ $24.76 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $699 ask
Typical Pull
$12.00
Grail premium $12.76 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $699 ask
FMV coverage
100%
115 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
34
of 1,560 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago2.2%unopened
Rare34 / 1,560 (2.2%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common170 / 7,800 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 34 / 1,560 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 170 / 7,800 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 115 of 115 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ivica Zubac
Dunk · Sep 4, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$22.05
Recent Low
$24.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Aug 1, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$15.30
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Duncan Robinson
3 Pointer · Oct 4, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Norman Powell
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$19.44
Mint 299
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Rajon Rondo
Assist · Sep 25, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Dennis Schröder
Layup · Aug 24, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$11.69
Recent Low
$12.99
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Dec 3, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$10.34
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Landry Shamet
Dunk · Aug 22, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.20
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Patty Mills
Steal · Feb 2, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Layup · Oct 7, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Danuel House Jr.
Dunk · Aug 18, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.68
Recent Low
$10.75
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Justin Holiday
Layup · Jan 9, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Jarrell Brantley
Layup · Aug 13, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$14.82
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Jae Crowder
Assist · Oct 4, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.65
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Nikola Jokić
Jump Shot · Sep 2, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Marvin Bagley III
Dunk · Jan 16, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Kevin Love
Assist · Mar 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.025
Matisse Thybulle
Block · Aug 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,530
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.025
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 12, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Joel Embiid
Layup · Feb 21, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.47%Wt 0.015
Trae Young
Handles · Jan 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Tyler Herro
Jump Shot · Oct 7, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.025