What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #478
Premium Pack (Series 1, Drop 2, Wave 1/5)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$398
Actual EV
$395
Net −$3.25 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$159
Grail premium $235 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.99x
-0.8% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
84%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
232
of 1,492 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago16%unopened
Rare232 / 1,492 (16%)
Common1,160 / 7,460 (16%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 232 / 1,492 | 17% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,160 / 7,460 | 83% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)Luka Dončić
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$300
Floor
$276
Mint 299
Hit 9.64%Wt 0.116
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$156
Floor
$121
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$130
Floor
$125
Mint 1,431
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$128
Floor
$111
Mint 1,430
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$97.05
Floor
$81.00
Mint 1,359
Hit 4.64%Wt 0.056
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$71.17
Floor
$62.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$58.00
Floor
$45.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.013
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$54.69
Floor
$52.00
Mint 1,428
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Carmelo Anthony
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$43.50
Floor
$30.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$43.41
Floor
$36.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$40.36
Floor
$35.00
Mint 1,354
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.017
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$35.00
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$26.57
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.017
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$26.54
Floor
$22.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 1.79%Wt 0.022
RJ Barrett
Metallic Gold LE
RARE0
FMV
$26.10
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.039
Jarrett Allen
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$26.10
Floor
$29.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$25.71
Floor
$25.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.034
Aaron Gordon
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.75
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$22.25
Floor
$20.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$21.30
Floor
$20.00
Mint 1,433
Hit 3.93%Wt 0.047
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$18.60
Floor
$13.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$16.23
Floor
$13.00
Mint 3,600
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.03
De'Aaron Fox
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$14.91
Floor
$13.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.043
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON0
FMV
$12.90
Floor
$12.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 3.21%Wt 0.039