Skip to content
Rip Packs City
@RIPPACKSCITY
LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
🏀Top Shot🏈All Day✨Pinnacle⚽Golazos🥊Strike🃏Panini⚾Candy
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 1, App)
NBA Top Shot · Pack #480

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 1, App)

Rare10 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$198] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$198
Actual EV
—
≈ $23.24 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $198 ask
Typical Pull
$2.40
Grail premium $20.84 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $198 ask
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1h ago
Packs remaining
16
of 407 minted · as of 1h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1h ago
3.9%unopened
16 / 407 packs
Rare16 / 407 (3.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common144 / 3,663 (3.9%)

Pull odds by tier

10 slots/pack · as of 1h ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Rare16 / 40710%~1 in 2
Common144 / 3,66390%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Dec 22, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$101
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Karl-Anthony Towns
Karl-Anthony Towns
Layup · Apr 6, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Bam Adebayo
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Domantas Sabonis
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Dec 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Lauri Markkanen
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Andrew Wiggins
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Feb 21, 2015
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Brandon Ingram
Brandon Ingram
Dunk · Apr 12, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Ben Simmons
Ben Simmons
Handles · Apr 19, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Malcolm Brogdon
Malcolm Brogdon
Dunk · Dec 21, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Anfernee Simons
Anfernee Simons
Assist · Apr 11, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.89
Recent Low
$0.91
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Josh Hart
Josh Hart
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.88%Wt 0.069
Collin Sexton
Collin Sexton
Dunk · Mar 9, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.063
Kyle Lowry
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Feb 27, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Malik Monk
Malik Monk
Layup · Apr 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Tony Allen
Tony Allen
Steal · May 6, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Deron Williams
Deron Williams
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.13%Wt 0.131
LaMarcus Aldridge
LaMarcus Aldridge
Layup · Dec 20, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Raymond Felton
Raymond Felton
Layup · Apr 19, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Al Horford
Al Horford
Jump Shot · Feb 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.88%Wt 0.069
Derrick Jones Jr.
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Mar 10, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Matt Barnes
Matt Barnes
3 Pointer · Dec 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Spencer Dinwiddie
Spencer Dinwiddie
Dunk · Mar 1, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Bojan Bogdanović
Bojan Bogdanović
Handles · Nov 4, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 11.88%Wt 0.119
Ricky Rubio
Ricky Rubio
Assist · Mar 25, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05