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RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
🏀Top Shot🏈All Day✨Pinnacle⚽Golazos🥊Strike🃏Panini⚾Candy
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 1, Web)
NBA Top Shot · Pack #481

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 1, Web)

Rare10 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$197] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$197
Actual EV
—
≈ $18.85 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $197 ask
Typical Pull
$2.40
Grail premium $16.45 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $197 ask
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
12
of 407 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago
2.9%unopened
12 / 407 packs
Rare12 / 407 (2.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common108 / 3,663 (2.9%)

Pull odds by tier

10 slots/pack · as of 1d ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Rare12 / 40710%~1 in 2
Common108 / 3,66390%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Karl-Anthony Towns
Karl-Anthony Towns
Layup · Apr 6, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Bam Adebayo
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Domantas Sabonis
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Dec 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Lauri Markkanen
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Andrew Wiggins
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Feb 21, 2015
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Brandon Ingram
Brandon Ingram
Dunk · Apr 12, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Malcolm Brogdon
Malcolm Brogdon
Dunk · Dec 21, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Kevin Love
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · May 8, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Anfernee Simons
Anfernee Simons
Assist · Apr 11, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Josh Hart
Josh Hart
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Malik Monk
Malik Monk
Layup · Apr 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Collin Sexton
Collin Sexton
Dunk · Mar 9, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.058
Tony Allen
Tony Allen
Steal · May 6, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Deron Williams
Deron Williams
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
LaMarcus Aldridge
LaMarcus Aldridge
Layup · Dec 20, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Raymond Felton
Raymond Felton
Layup · Apr 19, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.058
Al Horford
Al Horford
Jump Shot · Feb 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Paul Millsap
Paul Millsap
Jump Shot · Apr 9, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Derrick Jones Jr.
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Mar 10, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Matt Barnes
Matt Barnes
3 Pointer · Dec 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.058
Serge Ibaka
Serge Ibaka
3 Pointer · Apr 17, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
John Wall
John Wall
Layup · Dec 25, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Bojan Bogdanović
Bojan Bogdanović
Handles · Nov 4, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Ricky Rubio
Ricky Rubio
Assist · Mar 25, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067