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NBA Top Shot · Pack #481
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 1, Web)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$197
Actual EV
—
≈ $21.27 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$3.10
Grail premium $18.17 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
13
of 407 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago3.2%unopened
Rare12 / 407 (2.9%)
Common108 / 3,663 (2.9%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 12 / 407 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 108 / 3,663 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 2.50%
Bam Adebayo
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$23.00
RareHit 0.83%
Karl-Anthony Towns
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$22.44
RareHit 1.67%
Lauri Markkanen
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$18.40
RareHit 0.83%
Domantas Sabonis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$17.86
RareHit 0.83%
Andrew Wiggins
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$17.50
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)Bam Adebayo
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$23.00
Floor
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.231
Karl-Anthony Towns
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$22.44
Floor
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.077
Lauri Markkanen
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.40
Floor
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.154
Domantas Sabonis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$17.86
Floor
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.077
Andrew Wiggins
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$17.50
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.077
Brandon Ingram
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$14.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.154
Malcolm Brogdon
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.154
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.79
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.385
Josh Hart
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.385
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.154
Malik Monk
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.462
John Wall
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.615
Tony Allen
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.308
Bojan Bogdanović
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.769
Matt Barnes
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.538
Collin Sexton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.538
Spencer Dinwiddie
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.231
Deron Williams
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.769
LaMarcus Aldridge
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.615
Raymond Felton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.83%Wt 0.538
Paul Millsap
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.385
Al Horford
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.385
Ricky Rubio
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.615
Derrick Jones Jr.
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.308