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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4874
Video Game Numbers February 2025
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$23.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $14.61 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $23.00
Typical Pull
$6.05
Grail premium $8.56 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $23.00
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
66
of 1,724 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 12h ago3.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
Rare158 / 4,309 (3.7%)
Common172 / 4,309 (4.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 158 / 4,309 | 48% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 172 / 4,309 | 52% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)LaMelo Ball
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.152
Cade Cunningham
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Anthony Edwards
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$6.79
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$6.35
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Karl-Anthony Towns
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$6.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.212
Jalen Brunson
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.121
Anthony Davis
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.045
Jamal Murray
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.88
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.091
Domantas Sabonis
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.43
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.182
Scoot Henderson
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.28
Floor
$2.37
Mint 499
Hit 4.85%Wt 0.242
James Harden
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.152
CJ McCollum
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.22
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.227
Jalen Green
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.22
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.121
Nikola Vučević
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$4.08
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.227
Cole Anthony
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$3.83
Floor
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.121
Cam Spencer
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$1.97
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.091
LeBron James
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$1.06
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.212
Yuki Kawamura
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$1.02
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.076
Anthony Black
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.99
Floor
$0.50
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.212
Quinten Post
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$0.91
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.152
Justin Edwards
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.85%Wt 0.242
Jayson Tatum
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.136
Reece Beekman
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Jordan Poole
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.212