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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4874
Video Game Numbers February 2025
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$22.75
Actual EV
—
≈ $13.72 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $22.75 ask
Typical Pull
$5.20
Grail premium $8.52 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $22.75 ask
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
62
of 1,724 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago3.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.12
Rare148 / 4,309 (3.4%)
239 per 100 sealed packs · launch 250 · ≈ launch rate
Common162 / 4,309 (3.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 148 / 4,309 | 48% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 162 / 4,309 | 52% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Cade Cunningham
Reel · Dec 17, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.035
Anthony Edwards
Reel · Jan 5, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.95
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.035
Jalen Brunson
Reel · Dec 29, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.77
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Dec 1, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.39
Mint 499
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Domantas Sabonis
Reel · Jan 11, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
James Harden
Reel · Dec 2, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.90%Wt 0.029
Anthony Davis
Reel · Dec 16, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.97%Wt 0.01
LaMelo Ball
Reel · Nov 24, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.98
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Scoot Henderson
Reel · Jan 15, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.52%Wt 0.045
Karl-Anthony Towns
Reel · Oct 30, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.87%Wt 0.039
Cole Anthony
Reel · Dec 22, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Jamal Murray
Reel · Jan 15, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.93
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
CJ McCollum
Reel · Jan 4, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.30
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.84%Wt 0.048
Nikola Vučević
Reel · Jan 18, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.19%Wt 0.042
Jalen Green
Reel · Jan 14, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Devin Carter
Assist · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Cam Spencer
3 Pointer · Dec 9, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.44
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.87%Wt 0.039
Quinten Post
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Yuki Kawamura
Assist · Dec 30, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.016
Justin Edwards
Layup · Nov 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.62
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.19%Wt 0.042
Luke Travers
Block · Nov 1, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.26%Wt 0.023
Anthony Black
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.44
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.19%Wt 0.042
Reece Beekman
Block · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
