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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4876
Grail Seekers February
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$40.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.60 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $40.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $10.60 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $40.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
84 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
418
of 30,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.4%unopened
Ultimate1 / 4 (25%)
0.24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01 · 18× launch rate
Legendary1 / 28 (3.6%)
0.24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.09 · 2.6× launch rate
Rare62 / 4,500 (1.4%)
15 per 100 sealed packs · launch 15 · ≈ launch rate
Common2,021 / 145,468 (1.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 1 / 4 | <0.1% | ~1 in 417 |
| Legendary | 1 / 28 | <0.1% | ~1 in 417 |
| Rare | 62 / 4,500 | 3.0% | ~1 in 7 |
| Common | 2,021 / 145,468 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 84 of 84 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Hakeem Olajuwon
Reel · Oct 27, 1984
Supernova
ULTIMATESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3,950
Recent Low
—
Mint 10
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Dunk · Mar 1, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$39.00
Recent Low
$70.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
Kel'el Ware
Dunk · Jan 22, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Block · Dec 16, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
Reel · Jan 5, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.95
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Jalen Brunson
Reel · Dec 29, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.77
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Domantas Sabonis
Reel · Jan 11, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
James Harden
Reel · Dec 2, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
LaMelo Ball
Reel · Nov 24, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.98
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Ivica Zubac
Block · Jan 17, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.49
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Karl-Anthony Towns
Reel · Oct 30, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Peyton Watson
Block · Jan 19, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.81
Mint 599
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Kristaps Porziņģis
Block · Jan 8, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.002
Mark Williams
Block · Dec 31, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Devin Carter
Assist · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Nov 17, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.34%Wt 0.013
Quinten Post
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
Anthony Black
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.44
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.015
Luka Garza
Dunk · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.42
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.97%Wt 0.03
Franz Wagner
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Jaden McDaniels
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.97%Wt 0.03
Onyeka Okongwu
Dunk · Oct 23, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.97%Wt 0.03
Talen Horton-Tucker
Assist · Dec 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.029