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NBA Top Shot · Pack #495
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 2, Web)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$1,007
Actual EV
—
≈ $27.32 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$3.50
Grail premium $23.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
28
of 778 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago3.6%unopened
Rare31 / 778 (4.0%)
Common243 / 7,002 (3.5%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 31 / 778 | 11% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 243 / 7,002 | 89% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 1.46%
Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$45.62
RareHit 1.46%
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$25.22
RareHit 2.92%
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$16.91
RareHit 2.92%
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.64
RareHit 2.55%
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$8.33
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$45.62
Floor
$30.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.143
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$25.22
Floor
$19.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.143
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$16.91
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.286
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$13.64
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.286
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$8.33
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.25
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.79
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.429
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.11%Wt 0.5
Malik Monk
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 8.39%Wt 0.821
John Wall
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.321
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.50%Wt 1.321
John Collins
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.41%Wt 1.214
Derrick Favors
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.84%Wt 0.571
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 12.41%Wt 1.214
Nenê
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.10
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.429
Matt Barnes
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.73%Wt 0.071
Spencer Dinwiddie
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.47%Wt 0.536
Paul Millsap
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.11%Wt 0.5
Serge Ibaka
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.01%Wt 0.393
Ricky Rubio
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.357