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NBA Top Shot · Pack #496
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 2, App)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$99.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $25.65 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$3.50
Grail premium $22.15 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
29
of 777 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago3.7%unopened
Rare29 / 777 (3.7%)
Common261 / 6,993 (3.7%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 29 / 777 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 261 / 6,993 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 1.72%
Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$45.62
RareHit 1.38%
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$25.22
RareHit 2.76%
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$16.91
RareHit 1.03%
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.64
RareHit 3.10%
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$8.33
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$45.62
Floor
$30.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.72%Wt 0.172
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$25.22
Floor
$19.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.38%Wt 0.138
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$16.91
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.76%Wt 0.276
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$13.64
Floor
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.103
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$8.33
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.31
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.79
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.483
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.90%Wt 0.69
Malik Monk
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.55%Wt 0.655
John Wall
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.48%Wt 0.448
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.10%Wt 1.31
John Collins
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 11.72%Wt 1.172
Derrick Favors
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.86%Wt 0.586
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 13.10%Wt 1.31
Nenê
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.10
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.17%Wt 0.517
Matt Barnes
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.103
Spencer Dinwiddie
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.345
Paul Millsap
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.483
Serge Ibaka
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.14%Wt 0.414
Ricky Rubio
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.483