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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4975

Chasing Holo: Guaranteed Rare

Name: Chasing Holo: Guaranteed Rare
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 30 USD

Rare1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$220] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$4.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jimmy Butler · Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$5.00	35.7%
Herbert Jones · Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$5.00	35.7%
Spencer Dinwiddie · Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$4.00	28.6%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $36.00 · 2y agoRetail $22071 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$220

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $220

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $220

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

99%

pool · as of 20h ago

Packs remaining

of 294 minted · as of 20h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 20h ago

1.0%unopened

3 / 294 packs

Legendary0 / 3 (0.0%)

0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0

Rare3 / 291 (1.0%)

100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 99 · ≈ launch rate

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 20h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	0 / 3	0.0%	depleted
Rare	3 / 291	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 3 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jimmy Butler	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$5.00	$1.67
Herbert Jones	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$5.00	$1.67
Spencer Dinwiddie	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$4.00	$1.33

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 3:25 PM PT.