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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4976
Chasing All-Stars
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.73 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $0.63 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
FMV coverage
100%
371 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
259
of 7,500 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago3.5%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare23 / 566 (4.1%)
Common1,261 / 36,924 (3.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 23 / 566 | 1.8% | ~1 in 12 |
| Common | 1,261 / 36,924 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 371 of 371 (100%)Anthony Black
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$14.45
Floor
$17.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$11.80
Floor
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Evan Mobley
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
COMMON6
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 490
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Monte Morris
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$7.50
Floor
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
T.J. McConnell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Nikola Jokić
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$6.92
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Anthony Davis
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$6.71
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Aaron Nesmith
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.89
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Nic Claxton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$5.71
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Nikola Jović
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Russell Westbrook
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.03
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Paul Reed
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Tyler Herro
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARE6
FMV
$4.99
Floor
$3.00
Mint 702
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Rising Stars
RARE2
FMV
$4.80
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Malcolm Brogdon
Fresh Threads
RARE5
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$4.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Chris Boucher
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.44
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jaylen Brown
2021 All-Star Game
RARE2
FMV
$4.38
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Quinten Post
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.75
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Pascal Siakam
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.18
Floor
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019