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NBA Top Shot · Pack #4976
Chasing All-Stars
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.09 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
Typical Pull
$1.35
Grail premium $0.74 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00
FMV coverage
100%
371 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
259
of 7,500 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21d ago3.5%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
Rare23 / 566 (4.1%)
Common1,261 / 36,924 (3.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 21d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 23 / 566 | 1.8% | ~1 in 12 |
| Common | 1,261 / 36,924 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 371 of 371 (100%)Anthony Black
Freshman Gems
RARE6
FMV
$32.40
Floor
$36.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$12.67
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$8.98
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Nikola Jokić
2022 All-Star Game
RARE4
FMV
$8.65
Floor
$6.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Evan Mobley
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARE6
FMV
$8.29
Floor
$6.00
Mint 490
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Nic Claxton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Paul Reed
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
T.J. McConnell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$6.73
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Anthony Davis
NBA Cup
RARE7
FMV
$5.96
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Nikola Jović
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.83
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Rising Stars
RARE2
FMV
$5.70
Floor
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Jaylen Brown
2021 All-Star Game
RARE2
FMV
$5.57
Floor
$5.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Chris Boucher
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$5.56
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Aaron Nesmith
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Russell Westbrook
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.11
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Kevin Huerter
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.36
Floor
$4.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Julian Champagnie
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$1.50
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Elfrid Payton
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Talen Horton-Tucker
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.86%Wt 0.009
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
John Collins
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.011
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Damian Lillard
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Pascal Siakam
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024