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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5014

All-Star Weekend: Single Moment

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

433

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

433

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$7.17

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.79

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 29% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Victor Wembanyama · 2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	12.74%	$5.00	51.4%
Cade Cunningham · 2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	10.42%	$1.11	9.3%
Alperen Şengün · 2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	11.58%	$0.85	7.9%
Damian Lillard · 2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	10.81%	$0.75	6.5%
Jaylen Brown · 2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	10.42%	$0.66

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $8.00 · 9mo agoRetail $8.00342 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$8.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.24 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00

Typical Pull

$0.75

Grail premium $0.49 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (91% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00

FMV coverage

100%

10 editions

Depletion

91%

live pool

Packs remaining

262

of 2,980 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

8.8%unopened

262 / 2,980 packs

Fandom259 / 2,980 (8.7%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	259 / 2,980	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 10 of 10 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 10

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Victor Wembanyama	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.05%	$5.00	<$0.01
Cade Cunningham	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.04%	$1.11	<$0.01
Alperen Şengün	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.04%	$0.85	<$0.01
Damian Lillard	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.04%	$0.75	<$0.01
Jaylen Brown	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.04%	$0.66	<$0.01
Jalen Williams	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.03%	$0.70	<$0.01
Trae Young	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.05%	$0.52	<$0.01
Evan Mobley	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.02%	$1.00	<$0.01
Kyrie Irving	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.03%	$0.43	<$0.01
Tyler Herro	2025 NBA All-Star	FANDOM	0.03%	$0.19	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/6/2026, 4:55:51 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.