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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5052
For The Win: Guaranteed Rare
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$31.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $14.26 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $31.99
Typical Pull
$4.75
Grail premium $9.51 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $31.99
FMV coverage
100%
28 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
54
of 1,170 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 2h ago4.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary1 / 39 (2.6%)
Rare127 / 2,885 (4.4%)
Common142 / 2,925 (4.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 39 | 0.4% | ~1 in 54 |
| Rare | 127 / 2,885 | 47% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 142 / 2,925 | 53% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 28 of 28 (100%)Malik Monk
Ascension
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$85.50
Floor
$37.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.019
OG Anunoby
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Tyrese Haliburton
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.82
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.204
Kawhi Leonard
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.63
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.204
Austin Reaves
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$5.13
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Moses Moody
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$5.07
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.074
De'Aaron Fox
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.95
Floor
$4.89
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
DeMar DeRozan
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.46
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Keon Johnson
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.093
Anfernee Simons
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.39
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Cole Anthony
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Tyler Herro
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$4.16
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Grayson Allen
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.093
Nick Richards
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.019
Scoot Henderson
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$3.80
Floor
$2.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.167
Isaiah Joe
Breakout
RARE7
FMV
$3.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.074
Paolo Banchero
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.95
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.81%Wt 0.241
Kyrie Irving
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Anthony Edwards
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.59%Wt 0.13
Jalen Brunson
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Devin Vassell
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.31
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Ja Morant
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.27
Mint 2,500
Hit 7.78%Wt 0.389
De'Andre Hunter
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.35
Mint 2,500
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.278
Grayson Allen
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.333