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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5052
For The Win: Guaranteed Rare
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$28.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.54 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $28.00 ask
Typical Pull
$2.50
Grail premium $9.04 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $28.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
28 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 11h ago
Packs remaining
54
of 1,170 minted · as of 11h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 11h ago4.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.09
Legendary1 / 39 (2.6%)
1.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.3 · 0.6× launch rate
Rare127 / 2,885 (4.4%)
235 per 100 sealed packs · launch 247 · ≈ launch rate
Common142 / 2,925 (4.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 39 | 0.4% | ~1 in 54 |
| Rare | 127 / 2,885 | 47% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 142 / 2,925 | 53% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 28 of 28 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Malik Monk
Dunk · Dec 22, 2024
Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$59.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Tyrese Haliburton
3 Pointer · Mar 11, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.78
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.041
Austin Reaves
Layup · Dec 26, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Kawhi Leonard
Floater · Mar 10, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.85
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.041
Tyler Herro
Jump Shot · Dec 27, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Anfernee Simons
Layup · Dec 20, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.32
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
De'Aaron Fox
Jump Shot · Mar 2, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
OG Anunoby
3 Pointer · Mar 1, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Grayson Allen
Layup · Jan 11, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Keon Johnson
Dunk · Mar 2, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Isaiah Joe
Reel · Jan 11, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Cole Anthony
Floater · Dec 29, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Scoot Henderson
Jump Shot · Dec 27, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.49
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
DeMar DeRozan
Floater · Feb 11, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Moses Moody
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Nick Richards
Dunk · Jan 26, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.004
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Feb 9, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.81%Wt 0.048
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Kyrie Irving
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Grayson Allen
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
James Harden
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Ja Morant
Floater · Feb 26, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 7.78%Wt 0.078
De'Andre Hunter
3 Pointer · Mar 2, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056
