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NBA Top Shot · Pack #510
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 2, Web)
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$12.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.56 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00
Typical Pull
$0.39
Grail premium $0.17 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $12.00
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
168
of 5,800 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago2.9%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
Rare6 / 145 (4.1%)
Common834 / 28,848 (2.9%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 145 | 0.7% | — |
| Common | 834 / 28,848 | 99% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 0.13%
Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$46.83
RareHit 0.13%
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$27.86
RareHit 0.13%
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$17.00
RareHit 0.26%
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$11.29
RareHit 0.13%
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$10.20
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$46.83
Floor
$41.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.006
Joel Embiid
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$27.86
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.006
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$11.29
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.012
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.006
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.077
Norman Powell
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.99%Wt 0.28
Spencer Dinwiddie
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.57
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.55%Wt 0.119
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.095
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.23%Wt 0.244
Bruce Brown
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.59
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.34%Wt 0.202
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.74%Wt 0.268
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.68%Wt 0.125
Alex Caruso
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.23%Wt 0.244
Myles Turner
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.59%Wt 0.214
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.59%Wt 0.214
Bradley Beal
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.87%Wt 0.274
Draymond Green
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.173
Kemba Walker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.40
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.72%Wt 0.22
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.173
Trevor Booker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.97%Wt 0.232
Blake Griffin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.34%Wt 0.202
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.196
Kyle Anderson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.339