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NBA Top Shot · Pack #516
2021 NBA Finals (Series 2)
Legendary10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$949
Actual EV
—
≈ $129 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $949 ask
Typical Pull
$2.30
Grail premium $127 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $949 ask
FMV coverage
100%
126 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
21
of 1,199 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago1.8%unopened
Legendary21 / 1,199 (1.8%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Rare63 / 3,597 (1.8%)
300 per 100 sealed packs · launch 300 · ≈ launch rate
Common126 / 7,114 (1.8%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 21 / 1,199 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 63 / 3,597 | 30% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 126 / 7,114 | 60% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 126 of 126 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Block · Jul 15, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$400
Recent Low
$554
Mint 120
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Deandre Ayton
Dunk · Jul 7, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$143
Recent Low
$159
Mint 120
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Jae Crowder
Dunk · Jul 18, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$104
Recent Low
$115
Mint 120
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Cameron Johnson
Layup · Jul 12, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$99.00
Recent Low
$110
Mint 120
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Pat Connaughton
3 Pointer · Jul 15, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$90.00
Recent Low
$100
Mint 120
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Bobby Portis
Layup · Jul 18, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$57.50
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 120
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Mikal Bridges
Dunk · Jul 9, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$55.00
Recent Low
$56.00
Mint 120
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Brook Lopez
Dunk · Jul 21, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$49.50
Recent Low
$55.00
Mint 120
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Khris Middleton
Jump Shot · Jul 21, 2021
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2
FMV
$44.00
Recent Low
$77.00
Mint 120
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Apr 5, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Pascal Siakam
Assist · Jan 12, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Aleksej Pokusevski
Dunk · Mar 28, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Derrick White
Jump Shot · Feb 15, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Mikal Bridges
Layup · Jan 10, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.94
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Marcus Smart
Assist · Apr 22, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Mar 31, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 499
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Rudy Gobert
Dunk · Mar 14, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Immanuel Quickley
Handles · Apr 20, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
John Wall
Assist · Mar 20, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
John Collins
Dunk · Apr 20, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Kristaps Porziņģis
Dunk · Mar 30, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.01
Brook Lopez
Dunk · Apr 1, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.81%Wt 0.038
Nikola Vučević
Dunk · Apr 4, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$9.75
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · Apr 22, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
