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NBA Top Shot · Pack #516
2021 NBA Finals (Series 2)
Legendary10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$949
Actual EV
—
≈ $434 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $949
Typical Pull
$83.30
Grail premium $351 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $949
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
22
of 1,199 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago1.8%unopened
Legendary22 / 1,199 (1.8%)
Rare69 / 3,597 (1.9%)
Common250 / 7,114 (3.5%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 22 / 1,199 | 6.5% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 69 / 3,597 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 250 / 7,114 | 73% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Giannis Antetokounmpo
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$899
Floor
$999
Mint 120
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Cameron Johnson
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$158
Floor
$175
Mint 120
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Bobby Portis
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$131
Floor
$145
Mint 120
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.045
Mikal Bridges
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$122
Floor
$30.00
Mint 120
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.136
Pat Connaughton
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$90.00
Floor
$100
Mint 120
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
Deandre Ayton
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$87.45
Floor
$159
Mint 120
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.045
Jae Crowder
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$84.00
Floor
$51.00
Mint 120
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Brook Lopez
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$62.10
Floor
$69.00
Mint 120
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.182
Khris Middleton
2021 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY2
FMV
$34.00
Floor
$40.00
Mint 120
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Deni Avdija
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$16.00
Floor
$16.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.182
Marcus Smart
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$10.78
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 8.08%Wt 0.364
Mikal Bridges
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$9.90
Floor
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.136
Kristaps Porziņģis
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$9.90
Floor
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Derrick White
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$9.88
Floor
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
Pascal Siakam
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
Jerami Grant
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$8.83
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.182
Nikola Vučević
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$8.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.136
Immanuel Quickley
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$7.67
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
Brook Lopez
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$7.20
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 8.08%Wt 0.364
Aleksej Pokusevski
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
Rudy Gobert
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$6.80
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
John Wall
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$6.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.091
John Collins
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$5.97
Floor
$4.99
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227
Buddy Hield
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.227