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NBA Top Shot · Pack #524
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 2, App)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.53 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $13.00
Typical Pull
$1.95
Grail premium $0.58 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $13.00
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
248
of 5,714 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 11h ago4.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
Rare6 / 142 (4.2%)
Common1,234 / 28,421 (4.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 142 | 0.5% | ~1 in 42 |
| Common | 1,234 / 28,421 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Jaylen Brown
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$46.83
Floor
$41.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.004
Kristaps Porziņģis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.008
Zach LaVine
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$13.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.004
Dejounte Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$11.29
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.008
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.47%Wt 0.113
Norman Powell
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.38%Wt 0.246
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.093
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.41%Wt 0.202
John Collins
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.39
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.125
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.26%Wt 0.286
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.085
Alex Caruso
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.53%Wt 0.298
Myles Turner
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.17%Wt 0.282
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.23%Wt 0.194
Kyle Anderson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.26%Wt 0.286
Bruce Brown
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.185
Bradley Beal
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.08%Wt 0.278
Draymond Green
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.97%Wt 0.181
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.177
Trevor Booker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.94%Wt 0.226
Blake Griffin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.32%Wt 0.198
Kemba Walker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.62%Wt 0.165
Serge Ibaka
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.125
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.20%Wt 0.238