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NBA Top Shot · Pack #524
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 2, App)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.03 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $0.88 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
247
of 5,714 minted · as of 8h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 8h ago4.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.12
Rare6 / 142 (4.2%)
2.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,229 / 28,421 (4.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 142 | 0.5% | ~1 in 42 |
| Common | 1,229 / 28,421 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jaylen Brown
Layup · May 16, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$30.00
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Kristaps Porziņģis
Dunk · Nov 7, 2015
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 20, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Zach LaVine
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2015
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · May 8, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Anfernee Simons
Assist · Apr 11, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Norman Powell
Dunk · Apr 26, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.95
Recent Low
$0.72
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.94%Wt 0.049
Myles Turner
Block · Feb 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.67%Wt 0.057
Malik Monk
Layup · Apr 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Feb 1, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.019
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Apr 8, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.05%Wt 0.04
Alex Caruso
Dunk · Jan 20, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.99%Wt 0.06
Shaun Livingston
Handles · May 21, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.67%Wt 0.057
Jimmy Butler
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.039
John Collins
Dunk · Mar 29, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.51%Wt 0.025
Blake Griffin
Layup · Oct 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.039
Bruce Brown
Steal · Nov 24, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.72%Wt 0.037
Trevor Booker
Jump Shot · Jan 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.53%Wt 0.045
Bradley Beal
Layup · Dec 11, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.51%Wt 0.055
Arron Afflalo
Handles · Mar 6, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.53%Wt 0.045
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 29, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.56%Wt 0.036
Draymond Green
Block · Apr 16, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Kyle Anderson
Assist · Mar 6, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.67%Wt 0.057
Jarrett Jack
Jump Shot · Mar 3, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.78%Wt 0.048
