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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5241
First Round: Guaranteed Rares
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$52.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $11.96 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $52.00 ask
Typical Pull
$12.00
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $52.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
59 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 4h ago
Packs remaining
31
of 1,351 minted · as of 4h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 4h ago2.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.07
Legendary1 / 108 (0.9%)
3.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 8.0 · 0.4× launch rate
Rare61 / 2,593 (2.4%)
197 per 100 sealed packs · launch 192 · ≈ launch rate
Common31 / 1,351 (2.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 108 | 1.1% | ~1 in 31 |
| Rare | 61 / 2,593 | 66% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 31 / 1,351 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 59 of 59 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2021
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 3
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$38.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.043
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Karl-Anthony Towns
3 Pointer · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.97
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Paul George
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Chet Holmgren
Block · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Anthony Davis
Reel · Dec 16, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Nov 21, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Houston Rockets
Dunk · Jan 15, 2024
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Portland Trail Blazers
Layup · Dec 14, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 500
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Amen Thompson
Steal · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.85
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Rudy Gobert
Reel · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.043
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Aaron Gordon
Dunk · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.75
Mint 299
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.043
Jarrett Allen
Block · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$8.45
Mint 299
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.043
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.87
Mint 299
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Keon Ellis
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011