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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5242
First Round: Guaranteed Legendary
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$848
Actual EV
$120
Net −$728 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $848 ask
Typical Pull
$25.00
Grail premium $95.46 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.14x
-85.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 86% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $848 ask
FMV coverage
100%
12 editions
Depletion
86%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
4
of 29 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago14%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.4
Legendary4 / 29 (14%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Rare16 / 115 (14%)
400 per 100 sealed packs · launch 397 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 4 / 29 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Rare | 16 / 115 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
LegendaryHit 10.00%
Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
$106
LegendaryHit 10.00%
Tyrese Haliburton
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
$80.00
RareHit 15.00%
Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$12.00
RareHit 10.00%
Steph Curry
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$10.00
RareHit 5.00%
Karl-Anthony Towns
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$8.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 12 of 12 (100%)Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$106
Recent Low
$149
Mint 75
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$80.00
Recent Low
$188
Mint 75
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 15.00%Wt 0.15
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Karl-Anthony Towns
3 Pointer · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Chet Holmgren
Block · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 15.00%Wt 0.15
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Amen Thompson
Steal · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.85
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Aaron Gordon
Dunk · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.75
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.87
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05