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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5242
First Round: Guaranteed Legendary
Legendary5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$848
Actual EV
$146
Net −$702 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $848
Typical Pull
$48.90
Grail premium $96.68 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.17x
-82.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (86% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $848
FMV coverage
100%
12 editions
Depletion
86%
live pool
Packs remaining
4
of 29 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 1h ago14%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary4 / 29 (14%)
Rare16 / 115 (14%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 4 / 29 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Rare | 16 / 115 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
LegendaryHit 10.00%
Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
$121
LegendaryHit 10.00%
Tyrese Haliburton
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
$88.40
RareHit 10.00%
Steph Curry
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$16.00
RareHit 15.00%
Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$15.82
RareHit 5.00%
Karl-Anthony Towns
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
$10.50
What's Inside
FMV priced 12 of 12 (100%)Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$121
Floor
$100
Mint 75
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.5
Tyrese Haliburton
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$88.40
Floor
$67.00
Mint 75
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.5
Steph Curry
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$16.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.5
Jalen Brunson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$15.82
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 15.00%Wt 0.75
Karl-Anthony Towns
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$10.50
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25
Chet Holmgren
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$9.78
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 15.00%Wt 0.75
Amen Thompson
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25
Jamal Murray
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$5.95
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25
Kawhi Leonard
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25
Jaylen Brown
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.5
Aaron Gordon
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$4.80
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25
Buddy Hield
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$4.73
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.25