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NBA Top Shot · Pack #526
Archive Drop 1 (App Exclusive)
Common6 slots
Pack price
$26.00
Retail $15.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.62 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $26.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.44
Grail premium $1.18 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $26.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
179
of 4,753 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago3.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.15
Rare5 / 144 (3.5%)
2.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 3.0 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,069 / 28,367 (3.8%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 5 / 144 | 0.5% | ~1 in 36 |
| Common | 1,069 / 28,367 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packRareHit 0.09%
Karl-Anthony Towns
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$22.00
RareHit 0.09%
Bam Adebayo
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$21.00
RareHit 0.09%
Jamal Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$21.00
RareHit 0.09%
Domantas Sabonis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$21.00
RareHit 0.18%
Brandon Ingram
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Karl-Anthony Towns
Layup · Apr 6, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Dec 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Jan 20, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Brandon Ingram
Dunk · Apr 12, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.011
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · May 8, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.14%Wt 0.245
Anfernee Simons
Assist · Apr 11, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.31%Wt 0.196
Josh Hart
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.277
Malik Monk
Layup · Apr 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.158
Collin Sexton
Dunk · Mar 9, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.304
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Feb 27, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.81%Wt 0.402
Tony Allen
Steal · May 6, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.89%Wt 0.348
LaMarcus Aldridge
Layup · Dec 20, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.07%Wt 0.359
Raymond Felton
Layup · Apr 19, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.342
Deron Williams
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.34%Wt 0.315
Al Horford
Jump Shot · Feb 4, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.82%Wt 0.462
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Mar 10, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.27%Wt 0.429
Paul Millsap
Jump Shot · Apr 9, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.50%Wt 0.207
Matt Barnes
3 Pointer · Dec 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.23%Wt 0.25
Serge Ibaka
3 Pointer · Apr 17, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.05%Wt 0.239
John Wall
Layup · Dec 25, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.223
Spencer Dinwiddie
Dunk · Mar 1, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.59%Wt 0.212
Bojan Bogdanović
Handles · Nov 4, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.342
Ricky Rubio
Assist · Mar 25, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.86%Wt 0.228
