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NBA Top Shot · Pack #526
Archive Drop 1 (App Exclusive)
Common6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.41 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
Typical Pull
$2.28
Grail premium $1.13 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
184
of 4,753 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 23h ago3.9%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
Rare5 / 144 (3.5%)
Common1,087 / 28,367 (3.8%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 5 / 144 | 0.5% | ~1 in 37 |
| Common | 1,087 / 28,367 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)Jamal Murray
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$29.00
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Domantas Sabonis
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$20.45
Floor
$18.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Bam Adebayo
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.43
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.005
Brandon Ingram
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$11.90
Floor
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.011
Kyle Lowry
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.78%Wt 0.402
Kevin Love
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.12%Wt 0.245
Josh Hart
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.57
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.277
Collin Sexton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.28
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.304
Spencer Dinwiddie
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.212
Ricky Rubio
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.228
Tony Allen
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.95%Wt 0.353
Derrick Jones Jr.
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.33%Wt 0.435
Al Horford
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.78%Wt 0.462
Malik Monk
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.66%Wt 0.158
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.39%Wt 0.201
Nenê
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.174
Bojan Bogdanović
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.77%Wt 0.342
Raymond Felton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.77%Wt 0.342
John Wall
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.85%Wt 0.228
Paul Millsap
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.207
Serge Ibaka
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.03%Wt 0.239
LaMarcus Aldridge
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.04%Wt 0.359
Matt Barnes
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.30%Wt 0.255
Deron Williams
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.23
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.40%Wt 0.321