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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5269
J-Dub Game 1 Western Conference Finals Alley-Oop
Rare
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.91 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00
Typical Pull
$0.36
Grail premium $1.55 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $18.00
FMV coverage
100%
2 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
21
of 1,000 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 18h ago2.1%unopened
Rare4 / 100 (4.0%)
Common17 / 900 (1.9%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 100 | 19% | — |
| Common | 17 / 900 | 81% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
