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NBA Top Shot · Pack #527
2022 NBA Finals (Series 3)
Legendary9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$749
Actual EV
—
≈ $766 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $749
Typical Pull
$146
Grail premium $620 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $749
FMV coverage
100%
14 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
12
of 600 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 16h ago2.0%unopened
Legendary12 / 600 (2.0%)
Rare12 / 600 (2.0%)
Common194 / 4,200 (4.6%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 12 / 600 | 5.5% | ~1 in 3 |
| Rare | 12 / 600 | 5.5% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 194 / 4,200 | 89% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 14 of 14 (100%)Jaylen Brown
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$224
Floor
$249
Mint 75
Hit 12.00%Wt 0.25
Jayson Tatum
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$203
Floor
$225
Mint 75
Hit 12.00%Wt 0.25
Marcus Smart
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$175
Floor
$50.00
Mint 75
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.167
Draymond Green
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$134
Floor
$149
Mint 75
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Andrew Wiggins
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$122
Floor
$135
Mint 75
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Robert Williams III
2022 NBA Finals
LEGENDARY4
FMV
$67.50
Floor
$75.00
Mint 75
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.167
Jalen Brunson
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$16.20
Floor
$18.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Steph Curry
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$12.38
Floor
$10.00
Mint 750
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.167
Jaylen Brown
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$10.40
Floor
$7.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Luka Dončić
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$8.33
Floor
$8.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Bam Adebayo
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$6.40
Floor
$5.00
Mint 750
Hit 16.00%Wt 0.333
Jimmy Butler
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$6.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 750
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.167
Al Horford
And Then There Were Four
RARE4
FMV
$4.57
Floor
$4.00
Mint 750
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.73
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.083