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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5276
The Climb: Guaranteed Rares
Rare4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$78.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.92 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $78.00 ask
Typical Pull
$3.20
Grail premium $6.72 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $78.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
11
of 999 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago1.1%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Legendary0 / 80 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 8.0
Rare22 / 1,917 (1.1%)
200 per 100 sealed packs · launch 192 · ≈ launch rate
Common22 / 1,998 (1.1%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 80 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 22 / 1,917 | 50% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 22 / 1,998 | 50% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.49
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.50
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Julius Randle
Reel · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.94
Recent Low
$5.49
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Toumani Camara
Dunk · Mar 10, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.35
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 12, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Cleveland Cavaliers
Dunk · Nov 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
San Antonio Spurs
Jump Shot · Dec 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Luke Kornet
Reel · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Zion Williamson
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.69
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Aaron Gordon
3 Pointer · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Mikal Bridges
Steal · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
AJ Green
3 Pointer · Jan 9, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Max Strus
Dunk · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.89
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Myles Turner
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Luke Kornet
Dunk · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.023
Donte DiVincenzo
Dunk · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Karl-Anthony Towns
Assist · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 6.82%Wt 0.068