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RPC›NBA Top Shot

🏀

NBA Top Shot

Dapper Labs · NBA

Flow

🏀Top Shot 🏈All Day ✨Pinnacle ⚽Golazos 🥊Strike 🃏Panini ⚾Candy

What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.

Holo Icon (Series 3, Release 2)

NBA Top Shot · Pack #528

Holo Icon (Series 3, Release 2)

Legendary9 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$850] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$850

Actual EV

—

≈ $66.08 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $850 ask

Typical Pull

$1.80

Grail premium $64.28 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $850 ask

FMV coverage

100%

191 editions

Depletion

98%

pool · as of 13h ago

Packs remaining

49

of 3,041 minted · as of 13h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 13h ago

1.6%unopened

49 / 3,041 packs

Legendary49 / 3,041 (1.6%)

100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate

Rare49 / 3,040 (1.6%)

100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate

Common343 / 21,287 (1.6%)

Pull odds by tier

9 slots/pack · as of 13h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	49 / 3,041	11%	~1 in 2
Rare	49 / 3,040	11%	~1 in 2
Common	343 / 21,287	78%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

Steph Curry

LegendaryHit 0.23%

Scottie Barnes

LegendaryHit 0.45%

Jalen Brunson

LegendaryHit 0.23%

Russell Westbrook

LegendaryHit 0.23%

Russell Westbrook

Kyrie Irving

LegendaryHit 0.23%

What's Inside

FMV priced 191 of 191 (100%)

Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest

Steph Curry

Jump Shot · Jan 22, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Scottie Barnes

Dunk · Jan 18, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Jalen Brunson

Handles · Nov 4, 2021

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Kyrie Irving

3 Pointer · Mar 15, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Jalen Suggs

Assist · Feb 13, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Davion Mitchell

Davion Mitchell

Dunk · Mar 31, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Bogdan Bogdanović

Bogdan Bogdanović

Assist · Mar 22, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007

Pascal Siakam

Block · Jan 30, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Myles Turner

Block · Nov 14, 2021

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Jordan Poole

3 Pointer · Mar 23, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007

Patty Mills

3 Pointer · Dec 26, 2021

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Cole Anthony

3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

Layup · Mar 26, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Spencer Dinwiddie

Spencer Dinwiddie

3 Pointer · Mar 16, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Klay Thompson

3 Pointer · Jan 30, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Paul George

Assist · Mar 30, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 1.36%Wt 0.014

Keldon Johnson

Dunk · Nov 27, 2021

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Tyler Herro

3 Pointer · Mar 4, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009

James Harden

Assist · Feb 27, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002

Jerami Grant

Block · Nov 11, 2021

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007

Desmond Bane

Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.45%Wt 0.005

Monte Morris

3 Pointer · Feb 17, 2022

LEGENDARYSeries 3

Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007

Evan Mobley

Layup · Dec 31, 2021

Metallic Gold LE

Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 191

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Paul George	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.03%	$40.00	$0.10
Jordan Poole	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.01%	$53.10	$0.07
Tyler Herro	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.02%	$36.00	$0.06
Monte Morris	Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.01%	$27.00	$0.03
Evan Mobley	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.01%	$12.00	$0.01
Bones Hyland	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.01%	$6.00	$0.01
Luke Kennard	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.02%	$4.00	$0.01
Aaron Gordon	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.01%	$4.25	$0.01
Saddiq Bey	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	0.01%	$4.00	<$0.01
Anthony Edwards	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.25	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 6, 2026, 6:25 AM PT.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

7

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

63

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Scottie Barnes · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.45%	$191	11.8%
Steph Curry · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.23%	$356	11.0%
Paul George · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	1.36%	$40.00	7.4%
Bogdan Bogdanović · Holo Icon	LEGENDARY	0.68%	$63.00	5.8%
Jordan Poole

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $765 · 3y agoRetail $8509 sales