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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5301
KATs Game 3 Comeback!
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.08 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
Typical Pull
$0.32
Grail premium $0.76 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
FMV coverage
100%
2 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
26
of 500 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago5.2%unopened
Rare3 / 100 (3.0%)
Common23 / 400 (5.8%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 3 / 100 | 12% | ~1 in 9 |
| Common | 23 / 400 | 88% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
