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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5301
KATs Game 3 Comeback!
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.90 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.33
Grail premium $0.57 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
2 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
22
of 500 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago4.4%unopened
Rare3 / 100 (3.0%)
14 per 100 sealed packs · launch 20 · 0.7× launch rate
Common19 / 400 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 3 / 100 | 14% | ~1 in 7 |
| Common | 19 / 400 | 86% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
