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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5305

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $15.04/pack▼ 64% below the $41.50 secondary ask· EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historicalTypical pull ≈ $6.36 · grail premium $8.68 (lottery-shaped)

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$41.50] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,267

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

4,565

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$882

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$9.09

per pack we could price

EV reality check

Modeled $15.04/packvs realized $8.05 avg · $0.00 median · $26.27 p90(0.54×)

Calibrated estimate $9.85/packmodel blended toward observed pulls

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 44 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 30% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Paige Bueckers · WNBA Rookie Debut 2025	COMMON	7.28%	$26.94	29.8%
Paige Bueckers · WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition	COMMON	0.36%	$495	26.9%
Sonia Citron

Sealed pack resale

Last $59.00 · 4mo agoRetail $41.502,385 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$41.50

Actual EV

$15.04

Net −$26.46 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$6.36

Grail premium $8.68 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

0.36x

-63.8% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

15 editions

Depletion

89%

pool · as of 25d ago

Packs remaining

424

of 4,006 minted · as of 25d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 25d ago

11%unopened

424 / 4,006 packs

Common838 / 8,012 (10%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 25d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	838 / 8,012	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

CommonHit 0.36%

Paige Bueckers

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition

$495

CommonHit 0.24%

Kiki Iriafen

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition

$53.43

CommonHit 0.12%

Sarah Ashlee Barker

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition

$38.25

CommonHit 7.28%

Paige Bueckers

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025

$26.94

CommonHit 8.59%

Sonia Citron

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025

$7.01

What's Inside

FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)

Buyer	Sale price	When
@rmrbball3	$67.00	144d ago
@rmrbball3	$67.00	144d ago
@Rewind2001	$67.00	153d ago
@Rewind2001	$67.00	153d ago
@bergzh	$67.00	154d ago
@SpoonyBard	$67.00	156d ago
@DIAM0ND	$66.00	137d ago
@BigDaddaBear	$65.00	130d ago
@KlayChompson	$65.00	131d ago
@DDMF2005	$65.00	133d ago

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Shootinthrough	$8.25	17h ago
@JDBStealth	$7.94	21h ago
@JDBStealth	$7.89	21h ago
@singal22	$8.35

WNBA Rookie Debut 2025

What drives the remaining EV

Packs Content Remaining

Pull odds by tier

Top chases

What's Inside

Sales History

Top pulls by EV

What drives the remaining EV

Sales History

Top pulls by EV