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NBA Top Shot · Pack #531
Archive Set (Summer 2021 Series, Release 2)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.70 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00
Typical Pull
$1.29
Grail premium $1.41 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00
FMV coverage
100%
40 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
2,362
of 142,995 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22h ago1.7%unopened
Common9,148 / 428,985 (2.1%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 9,148 / 428,985 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)Shaquille O'Neal
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$9.33
Floor
$7.00
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.078
LeBron James
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$3.13
Floor
$2.00
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.01
Vince Carter
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$2.74
Floor
$2.00
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.074
Dwight Howard
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$1.05
Floor
$1.00
Mint 20,000
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.025
Ben Gordon
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$1.04
Floor
$0.26
Mint 20,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.03
Steve Francis
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 20,000
Hit 8.19%Wt 0.191
Dirk Nowitzki
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.74
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.12%Wt 0.073
Kevin Garnett
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.26
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.011
Tim Duncan
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.55
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.072
Ben Wallace
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.45
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.011
Tracy McGrady
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.93
Floor
$0.70
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.07
Ray Allen
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.92
Floor
$0.53
Mint 10,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.069
Richard Hamilton
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.79
Floor
$0.10
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.74%Wt 0.087
Rudy Gobert
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.33
Mint 12,013
Hit 4.32%Wt 0.101
Manu Ginóbili
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.025
Alonzo Mourning
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.18
Mint 20,000
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.024
Rajon Rondo
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.24
Mint 20,000
Hit 7.72%Wt 0.18
Wally Szczerbiak
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.25
Mint 20,000
Hit 7.74%Wt 0.18
Chauncey Billups
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.10
Mint 10,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.082
Lou Williams
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.20
Mint 12,005
Hit 3.69%Wt 0.086
Robert Horry
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.031
Jason Kidd
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 20,000
Hit 7.81%Wt 0.182
Marcus Camby
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 7.57%Wt 0.177
Stephon Marbury
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 8.57%Wt 0.2