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NBA Top Shot · Pack #531

Archive Set (Summer 2021 Series, Release 2)

Common3 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

102

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

301

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.03

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.20

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Shaquille O'Neal · Archive Set	COMMON	3.01%	$8.91	35.7%
Vince Carter · Archive Set	COMMON	2.83%	$3.37	12.7%
Steve Francis · Archive Set	COMMON	7.34%	$0.54	5.3%
Tracy McGrady · Archive Set	COMMON	2.69%	$1.27	4.5%
Dirk Nowitzki · Archive Set	COMMON	2.80%	$1.20	4.5%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $2.00 (90d)Last $2.00 · 23d agoRetail $5.00117 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.40× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$8.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $2.76 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$1.35

Grail premium $1.41 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

40 editions

Depletion

98%

pool · as of 24d ago

Packs remaining

2,362

of 142,995 minted · as of 24d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 24d ago

1.7%unopened

2,362 / 142,995 packs

Common9,148 / 428,985 (2.1%)

Pull odds by tier

3 slots/pack · as of 24d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	9,148 / 428,985	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 40 of 40 (100%)

Partial data

1 of 2 sections could not be loaded (Sealed-pack sales history). This is a temporary database-load failure, not an empty result — treat the affected sections as unknown rather than zero, and reload shortly.

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 40

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Shaquille O'Neal	Archive Set	COMMON	0.00%	$8.91	<$0.01
Vince Carter	Archive Set	COMMON	0.00%	$3.37	<$0.01
Steve Francis	Archive Set	COMMON	0.01%	$0.54	<$0.01
Tracy McGrady	Archive Set	COMMON	0.00%	$1.27	<$0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	Archive Set	COMMON	0.00%	$1.20

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 4:07:23 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.