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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5419
The Peak: Guaranteed Rare
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$47.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.67 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $47.00
Typical Pull
$7.38
Grail premium $2.29 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $47.00
FMV coverage
100%
25 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
24
of 1,999 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 7h ago1.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)
Rare24 / 1,999 (1.2%)
Common48 / 3,996 (1.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 24 / 1,999 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 48 / 3,996 | 67% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 25 of 25 (100%)T.J. McConnell
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$11.67
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Tyrese Haliburton
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$9.83
Floor
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.042
Chet Holmgren
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$8.43
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.042
Alex Caruso
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$7.75
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Luguentz Dort
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Jalen Williams
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$6.45
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.042
Myles Turner
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$6.40
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.94%Wt 0.208
Andrew Nembhard
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$5.63
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Aaron Wiggins
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Aaron Nesmith
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARE7
FMV
$4.13
Floor
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Chet Holmgren
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$4.05
Floor
$3.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Obi Toppin
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$3.67
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Cason Wallace
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$3.50
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 6.94%Wt 0.208
Bennedict Mathurin
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$3.27
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Andrew Nembhard
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$2.91
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Aaron Nesmith
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$2.75
Floor
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.125
Luguentz Dort
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$2.46
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 6.94%Wt 0.208
Ben Sheppard
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$2.33
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Myles Turner
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$1.33
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Tyrese Haliburton
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$1.33
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.125
Isaiah Hartenstein
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$1.24
Floor
$0.26
Mint 2,025
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Isaiah Joe
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$1.09
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Alex Caruso
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Pascal Siakam
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.99
Mint 2,025
Hit 6.94%Wt 0.208