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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5427
2025 NBA Finals: Rare Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$59.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $59.00 ask
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $6.13 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $59.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
127 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 17h ago
Packs remaining
67
of 2,000 minted · as of 17h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 17h ago3.4%unopened
Legendary1 / 20 (5.0%)
1.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0 · 1.5× launch rate
Rare67 / 2,000 (3.4%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common133 / 3,980 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 20 | 0.5% | ~1 in 67 |
| Rare | 67 / 2,000 | 33% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 133 / 3,980 | 66% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 127 of 127 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Tyrese Haliburton
Reel · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$125
Recent Low
—
Mint 75
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Bam Adebayo
Block · Feb 10, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Jan 9, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$18.70
Recent Low
$22.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Pascal Siakam
Reel · Jun 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Nov 4, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.47
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Domantas Sabonis
Dunk · Mar 15, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Tyrese Haliburton
Jump Shot · Jun 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Jabari Smith Jr.
Dunk · Jan 12, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.67
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Jump Shot · Mar 31, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.50
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
T.J. McConnell
Reel · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$14.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Brice Sensabaugh
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Mar 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.80
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Myles Turner
Reel · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Anthony Davis
Block · Feb 3, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Nov 19, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.41
Recent Low
$5.83
Mint 446
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Dillon Brooks
Layup · Dec 29, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
CJ McCollum
3 Pointer · Mar 3, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Clint Capela
Block · Nov 27, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Chet Holmgren
Block · Jun 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.70
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.03