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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5524
Fresh Gems: Guaranteed Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$145
Actual EV
—
≈ $40.95 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $145
Typical Pull
$6.45
Grail premium $34.50 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $145
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
17
of 360 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 13h ago4.7%unopened
Rare21 / 495 (4.2%)
Common27 / 585 (4.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 21 / 495 | 44% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 27 / 585 | 56% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Paige Bueckers
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$101
Floor
$90.00
Mint 129
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Sonia Citron
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$59.63
Floor
$38.00
Mint 129
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.176
Aneesah Morrow
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$34.81
Floor
$21.00
Mint 129
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.176
Janelle Salaün
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$31.70
Floor
$25.00
Mint 149
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.176
Te-Hina Paopao
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$16.33
Floor
$12.00
Mint 149
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.235
Kathryn Westbeld
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$10.75
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.118
Monique Akoa Makani
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$9.00
Mint 149
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.235
Aaliyah Nye
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Aneesah Morrow
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$4.06
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Aziaha James
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.18
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Kaitlyn Chen
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.13
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 14.58%Wt 0.412
Kariata Diaby
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Chloe Bibby
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.19
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.118
Te-Hina Paopao
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.18
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Kitija Laksa
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.15
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.176
Murjanatu Musa
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$0.95
Mint 1,250
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.118
Aaliyah Nye
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.118
Rayah Marshall
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.118
Maddy Westbeld
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.90
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.059
Bree Hall
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.75
Mint 1,250
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.235