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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5537
Run It Back: Origins Premium Pack
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$122
Actual EV
—
≈ $30.87 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $122
Typical Pull
$27.75
Grail premium $3.12 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $122
FMV coverage
100%
15 editions
Depletion
94%
live pool
Packs remaining
11
of 199 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 18h ago5.5%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Rare33 / 596 (5.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 33 / 596 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)Kawhi Leonard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$17.31
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.182
Patrick Ewing
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$15.93
Floor
$12.99
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.273
Damian Lillard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$14.26
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.182
John Wall
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$10.14
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.273
Brandon Roy
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$9.85
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.091
Toni Kukoč
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$9.26
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.273
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$9.09
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.273
DeMar DeRozan
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.182
Jimmy Butler
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.67
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.273
Damon Stoudamire
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.58
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.091
Dwight Howard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.182
Pascal Siakam
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.10
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.182
Andrea Bargnani
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.62
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.091
Greg Oden
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.56
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 12.12%Wt 0.364
Derrick Coleman
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.13
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.091