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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5537
Run It Back: Origins Premium Pack
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$122
Actual EV
—
≈ $22.18 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $122 ask
Typical Pull
$18.75
Grail premium $3.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $122 ask
FMV coverage
100%
15 editions
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
11
of 199 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago5.5%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.50
Rare33 / 596 (5.5%)
300 per 100 sealed packs · launch 299 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 33 / 596 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)Damian Lillard
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.061
Patrick Ewing
Dunk · Jan 29, 1986
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.061
Toni Kukoč
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1993
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Pascal Siakam
Hook Shot · Oct 26, 2016
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.061
John Wall
Steal · Nov 2, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Dec 31, 2002
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Dwight Howard
Dunk · Nov 4, 2004
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.25
Recent Low
$5.50
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.061
Brandon Roy
Handles · Nov 2, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Derrick Coleman
Dunk · Feb 16, 1991
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
DeMar DeRozan
Dunk · Dec 19, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.061
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Jan 8, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.091
Andrea Bargnani
Dunk · Feb 5, 2007
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Greg Oden
Block · Jan 20, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 12.12%Wt 0.121
Damon Stoudamire
Handles · Mar 27, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03