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NBA Top Shot · Pack #554
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 3, Web)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.41 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.20
Grail premium $1.21 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
35 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
274
of 5,653 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago4.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.12
Rare8 / 142 (5.6%)
2.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · 1.2× launch rate
Common1,362 / 28,116 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 8 / 142 | 0.6% | ~1 in 35 |
| Common | 1,362 / 28,116 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packRareHit 0.07%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$20.00
RareHit 0.07%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$20.00
RareHit 0.07%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$15.00
RareHit 0.15%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.00
RareHit 0.22%
D'Angelo Russell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$6.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 35 of 35 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Mar 15, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Apr 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Jan 26, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Mikal Bridges
Steal · Mar 11, 2019
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.001
D'Angelo Russell
3 Pointer · Mar 2, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Mar 13, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.42%Wt 0.064
Norman Powell
Dunk · Apr 26, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.95
Recent Low
$0.72
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.48%Wt 0.025
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 27, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.18%Wt 0.052
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Apr 7, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.57%Wt 0.066
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Dec 8, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.13%Wt 0.061
Myles Turner
Block · Feb 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Apr 8, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Alex Caruso
Dunk · Jan 20, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.026
Jimmy Butler
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
JJ Redick
Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.64%Wt 0.066
Marcin Gortat
Dunk · Feb 24, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.84%Wt 0.058
Blake Griffin
Layup · Oct 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.41%Wt 0.024
Trevor Booker
Jump Shot · Jan 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
Chris Paul
3 Pointer · May 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.42%Wt 0.064
D.J. Augustin
3 Pointer · Apr 13, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.35%Wt 0.064
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 29, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · May 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.08%Wt 0.071
Kemba Walker
Handles · Nov 19, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.85%Wt 0.028
Ty Lawson
Layup · Feb 11, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.40%Wt 0.054
