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NBA Top Shot · Pack #554
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 3, Web)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.99 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00
Typical Pull
$2.10
Grail premium $0.89 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.00
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
274
of 5,653 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21h ago4.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
Rare8 / 142 (5.6%)
Common1,362 / 28,116 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 8 / 142 | 0.6% | ~1 in 35 |
| Common | 1,362 / 28,116 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 0.08%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$27.45
RareHit 0.08%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$23.40
RareHit 0.08%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$19.95
RareHit 0.16%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$18.20
RareHit 0.24%
D'Angelo Russell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$10.33
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$27.45
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.004
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$23.40
Floor
$20.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.004
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$19.95
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.004
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.20
Floor
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.007
D'Angelo Russell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$10.33
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.011
OG Anunoby
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.80%Wt 0.259
Derrick White
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.18%Wt 0.321
D.J. Augustin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.74
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.10%Wt 0.318
Norman Powell
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.59
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.124
Marcin Gortat
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.53%Wt 0.292
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.084
Wendell Carter Jr.
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.86%Wt 0.307
DeMar DeRozan
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.37
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.92%Wt 0.354
Dillon Brooks
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.35%Wt 0.328
Alex Caruso
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.131
Myles Turner
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.20%Wt 0.099
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.117
Bruce Brown
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.37%Wt 0.106
Bradley Beal
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.117
Chris Paul
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.18%Wt 0.321
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.146
Trevor Booker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.146
Kemba Walker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.18%Wt 0.142
Ty Lawson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.04%Wt 0.27