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NBA Top Shot · Pack #555
Archive Set 2014-19 (Release 3, App)
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.50 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.20
Grail premium $1.30 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
289
of 5,660 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago5.1%unopened
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.12
Rare8 / 142 (5.6%)
2.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · 1.1× launch rate
Common1,437 / 28,151 (5.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 8 / 142 | 0.6% | ~1 in 37 |
| Common | 1,437 / 28,151 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packRareHit 0.14%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$20.00
RareHit 0.21%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$15.00
RareHit 0.14%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.00
RareHit 0.07%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.00
CommonHit 0.35%
Anfernee Simons
Archive Set 2014-19
$1.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Apr 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Jan 26, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Jaren Jackson Jr.
3 Pointer · Dec 1, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Mikal Bridges
Steal · Mar 11, 2019
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Mar 13, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.09%Wt 0.061
Norman Powell
Dunk · Apr 26, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.95
Recent Low
$0.72
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.02
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 27, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.23%Wt 0.062
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Apr 7, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 7.20%Wt 0.072
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Dec 8, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.51%Wt 0.065
Myles Turner
Block · Feb 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.02
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Apr 8, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Jimmy Butler
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
JJ Redick
Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.74%Wt 0.057
Marcin Gortat
Dunk · Feb 24, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.57%Wt 0.066
Blake Griffin
Layup · Oct 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.70%Wt 0.027
Trevor Booker
Jump Shot · Jan 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Chris Paul
3 Pointer · May 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.92%Wt 0.069
D.J. Augustin
3 Pointer · Apr 13, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.16%Wt 0.062
Arron Afflalo
Handles · Mar 6, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.026
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 29, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024
Bradley Beal
Layup · Dec 11, 2014
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · May 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.61%Wt 0.056
Draymond Green
Block · Apr 16, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Ty Lawson
Layup · Feb 11, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 6.99%Wt 0.07
