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NBA Top Shot · Pack #556
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, Web)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $19.95 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
Typical Pull
$2.40
Grail premium $17.55 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
30 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 12h ago
Packs remaining
30
of 961 minted · as of 12h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 12h ago3.1%unopened
Rare30 / 961 (3.1%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common270 / 8,649 (3.1%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 30 / 961 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 270 / 8,649 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packRareHit 1.67%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$20.00
RareHit 3.33%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$20.00
RareHit 1.67%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$15.00
RareHit 2.33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$14.00
RareHit 1.00%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$13.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 30 of 30 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Mar 15, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Apr 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Jan 26, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Jaren Jackson Jr.
3 Pointer · Dec 1, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Mikal Bridges
Steal · Mar 11, 2019
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Mar 13, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.05
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Apr 7, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.88
Recent Low
$0.60
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 27, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.84
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Dec 8, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Feb 1, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Apr 8, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Shaun Livingston
Handles · May 21, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
John Collins
Dunk · Mar 29, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.027
Jimmy Butler
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.037
JJ Redick
Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Blake Griffin
Layup · Oct 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.053
Marcin Gortat
Dunk · Feb 24, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.047
J.J. Barea
Jump Shot · Dec 24, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.047
Chris Paul
3 Pointer · May 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.043
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 29, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.043
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · May 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Draymond Green
Block · Apr 16, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.047
Jarrett Jack
Jump Shot · Mar 3, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.053
Ty Lawson
Layup · Feb 11, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
