What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #556
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, Web)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $24.36 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
Typical Pull
$3.90
Grail premium $20.46 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
FMV coverage
100%
30 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
31
of 961 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago3.2%unopened
Rare30 / 961 (3.1%)
Common270 / 8,649 (3.1%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 30 / 961 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 270 / 8,649 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 1.67%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$27.45
RareHit 3.33%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$23.40
RareHit 1.67%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$19.95
RareHit 1.00%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$18.20
RareHit 2.33%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$12.75
What's Inside
FMV priced 30 of 30 (100%)Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$27.45
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.161
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$23.40
Floor
$20.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.323
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$19.95
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.161
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.20
Floor
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.097
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$12.75
Floor
$8.50
Mint 399
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.226
OG Anunoby
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.226
Derrick White
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.226
D.J. Augustin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.74
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.323
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.29
Marcin Gortat
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.452
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.29
DeMar DeRozan
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.37
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.484
John Collins
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.39
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.258
Dillon Brooks
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.387
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.452
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.323
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.355
Draymond Green
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.452
Chris Paul
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.419
JJ Redick
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.484
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.33%Wt 0.419
Blake Griffin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.516
Ty Lawson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.387
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.516