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RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
🏀Top Shot🏈All Day✨Pinnacle⚽Golazos🥊Strike🃏Panini⚾Candy
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Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, App)
NBA Top Shot · Pack #557

Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, App)

Rare10 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$50.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $17.31 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
Typical Pull
$2.40
Grail premium $14.91 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $50.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
32
of 962 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago
3.3%unopened
32 / 962 packs
Rare32 / 962 (3.3%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common288 / 8,658 (3.3%)

Pull odds by tier

10 slots/pack · as of 1d ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Rare32 / 96210%~1 in 2
Common288 / 8,65890%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Apr 28, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Devin Booker
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Mar 15, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Jan 26, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Jaren Jackson Jr.
3 Pointer · Dec 1, 2018
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Mikal Bridges
Mikal Bridges
Steal · Mar 11, 2019
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
D'Angelo Russell
D'Angelo Russell
3 Pointer · Mar 2, 2016
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Derrick White
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Mar 13, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.034
OG Anunoby
OG Anunoby
Dunk · Jan 27, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Dillon Brooks
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Apr 7, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Wendell Carter Jr.
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Dec 8, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Jerami Grant
Jerami Grant
Dunk · Feb 1, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Jordan Clarkson
Jordan Clarkson
Layup · Apr 8, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Jimmy Butler
Jimmy Butler
Jump Shot · Dec 29, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Shaun Livingston
Shaun Livingston
Handles · May 21, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
JJ Redick
JJ Redick
Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.044
Marcin Gortat
Marcin Gortat
Dunk · Feb 24, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.041
Blake Griffin
Blake Griffin
Layup · Oct 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
J.J. Barea
J.J. Barea
Jump Shot · Dec 24, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Trevor Booker
Trevor Booker
Jump Shot · Jan 10, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
D.J. Augustin
D.J. Augustin
3 Pointer · Apr 13, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.047
Paul George
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 29, 2017
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.047
Chris Paul
Chris Paul
3 Pointer · May 23, 2018
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.044
DeMar DeRozan
DeMar DeRozan
Layup · May 2, 2016
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.041
Jarrett Jack
Jarrett Jack
Jump Shot · Mar 3, 2015
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.044