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NBA Top Shot · Pack #557
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, App)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $22.95 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$3.30
Grail premium $19.65 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
33
of 962 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago3.4%unopened
Rare34 / 962 (3.5%)
Common288 / 8,658 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 34 / 962 | 11% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 288 / 8,658 | 89% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 2.17%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$24.89
RareHit 1.55%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$19.00
RareHit 2.17%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$18.20
RareHit 0.62%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$16.59
RareHit 1.86%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$14.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$24.89
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.17%Wt 0.212
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$19.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.152
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.20
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.17%Wt 0.212
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$16.59
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.061
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$14.00
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.86%Wt 0.182
D'Angelo Russell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$7.73
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.17%Wt 0.212
OG Anunoby
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.50
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.48%Wt 0.242
Derrick White
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.333
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.303
Bruce Brown
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.333
JJ Redick
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.424
Marcin Gortat
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.394
Trevor Booker
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.364
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.11%Wt 0.303
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.424
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.364
D.J. Augustin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.66%Wt 0.455
DeMar DeRozan
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.394
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.364
Ty Lawson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.364
Draymond Green
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.394
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.97%Wt 0.485
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.66%Wt 0.455
Chris Paul
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.35%Wt 0.424