What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #557
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19 (Release 3, App)
Rare10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$50.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $22.50 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
Typical Pull
$3.90
Grail premium $18.60 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $50.00
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
33
of 962 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago3.4%unopened
Rare32 / 962 (3.3%)
Common288 / 8,658 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 32 / 962 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 288 / 8,658 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 2.19%
Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$27.80
RareHit 1.88%
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$23.40
RareHit 0.63%
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$19.95
RareHit 1.25%
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$18.20
RareHit 1.88%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
$12.75
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Donovan Mitchell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$27.80
Floor
$23.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.212
Devin Booker
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$23.40
Floor
$20.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.182
De'Aaron Fox
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$19.95
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.061
Mikal Bridges
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$18.20
Floor
$16.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.121
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$12.75
Floor
$8.50
Mint 399
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.182
D'Angelo Russell
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARE5
FMV
$10.33
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.212
OG Anunoby
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.85
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.242
Derrick White
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.84
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.333
Wendell Carter Jr.
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.65
Mint 4,500
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.212
Jerami Grant
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.303
D.J. Augustin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.55
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.455
Marcin Gortat
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.53
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.394
Jordan Clarkson
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.485
DeMar DeRozan
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.394
J.J. Barea
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.364
Shaun Livingston
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.303
Jimmy Butler
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.364
Bruce Brown
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.44%Wt 0.333
Chris Paul
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.27
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.424
Draymond Green
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.06%Wt 0.394
Paul George
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.455
JJ Redick
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.424
Blake Griffin
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.364
Jarrett Jack
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 4.38%Wt 0.424