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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5576
Fresh Gems: Guaranteed Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$90.00
Actual EV
$19.53
Net −$70.47 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 77% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $90.00 ask
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $16.53 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.22x
-78.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 77% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $90.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
27 editions
Depletion
77%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
50
of 216 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago23%unopened
Rare72 / 299 (24%)
144 per 100 sealed packs · launch 138 · ≈ launch rate
Common78 / 349 (22%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 72 / 299 | 48% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 78 / 349 | 52% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 27 of 27 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Dominique Malonga
Jump Shot · Jul 6, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Kiki Iriafen
Jump Shot · Jun 3, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$28.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 129
Hit 4.67%Wt 0.047
Sarah Ashlee Barker
3 Pointer · Jun 1, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$24.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Makayla Timpson
Block · Jul 5, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Saniya Rivers
Jump Shot · Jul 13, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 129
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Luisa Geiselsöder
Reel · Jun 14, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.69
Recent Low
$12.99
Mint 149
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.053
Kitija Laksa
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.75
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 149
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.08
Aziaha James
Assist · Jun 20, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$13.45
Mint 129
Hit 5.33%Wt 0.053
Lucy Olsen
Jump Shot · Jul 4, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.67%Wt 0.027
Hailey Van Lith
Floater · Jun 15, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
JJ Quinerly
Handles · Jul 13, 2025
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 149
Hit 6.00%Wt 0.06
Sonia Citron
Jump Shot · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Carla Leite
Assist · May 17, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Aziaha James
Steal · May 16, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Saniya Rivers
Layup · May 20, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Makayla Timpson
Layup · May 17, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Luisa Geiselsöder
Jump Shot · May 27, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Sania Feagin
Block · Jul 13, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.59
Mint 1,200
Hit 33.33%Wt 0.333
JJ Quinerly
Layup · Jul 10, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Megan McConnell
3 Pointer · Jun 3, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 1,250
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Kariata Diaby
Layup · May 18, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Bree Hall
Layup · Jun 23, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Chloe Bibby
3 Pointer · Jun 19, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Maddy Westbeld
3 Pointer · Jun 8, 2025
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02