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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5576
Fresh Gems: Guaranteed Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$90.00
Actual EV
$35.32
Net −$54.68 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (77% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $90.00
Typical Pull
$25.50
Grail premium $9.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.39x
-60.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (77% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $90.00
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
77%
live pool
Packs remaining
50
of 216 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21h ago23%unopened
Rare72 / 299 (24%)
Common78 / 349 (22%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 72 / 299 | 48% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 78 / 349 | 52% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Kiki Iriafen
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$54.78
Floor
$45.00
Mint 129
Hit 5.22%Wt 0.14
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$48.46
Floor
$35.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.1
Saniya Rivers
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$27.75
Floor
$21.00
Mint 129
Hit 4.48%Wt 0.12
Hailey Van Lith
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$22.67
Floor
$15.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.1
Sarah Ashlee Barker
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$19.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 129
Hit 3.73%Wt 0.1
Sonia Citron
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$13.80
Floor
$10.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Makayla Timpson
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$13.57
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.06
Luisa Geiselsöder
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 149
Hit 5.97%Wt 0.16
Aziaha James
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$12.78
Floor
$7.00
Mint 129
Hit 5.97%Wt 0.16
Lucy Olsen
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$12.25
Floor
$9.00
Mint 149
Hit 2.99%Wt 0.08
Kitija Laksa
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$9.32
Floor
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 8.96%Wt 0.24
JJ Quinerly
WNBA Fresh Gems
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 149
Hit 6.72%Wt 0.18
Carla Leite
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$5.94
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.04
Makayla Timpson
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$3.90
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Saniya Rivers
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$3.76
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Aziaha James
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.18
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Luisa Geiselsöder
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.87
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Kitija Laksa
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.15
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Sania Feagin
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.03
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 37.31%Wt 1
Elizabeth Kitley
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.02
Bree Hall
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.75
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.06