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NBA Top Shot · Pack #560
Season Tip-off 2020-21 (Series 2)
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$154
Actual EV
—
≈ $29.58 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $154
Typical Pull
$3.00
Grail premium $26.58 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $154
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
71
of 3,150 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 17h ago2.3%unopened
Rare73 / 3,150 (2.3%)
Common172 / 6,299 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 17h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 73 / 3,150 | 30% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 172 / 6,299 | 70% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Anthony Edwards
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$61.96
Floor
$56.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.085
Kyrie Irving
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$37.80
Floor
$42.00
Mint 350
Hit 5.31%Wt 0.183
Jayson Tatum
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$31.50
Floor
$35.00
Mint 350
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.07
Karl-Anthony Towns
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$27.90
Floor
$31.00
Mint 350
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.127
LaMelo Ball
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$25.11
Floor
$23.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.085
Paul George
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 350
Hit 3.67%Wt 0.127
Chris Paul
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 350
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.07
Tyrese Maxey
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$19.68
Floor
$17.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.056
Rudy Gobert
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$18.00
Floor
$20.00
Mint 350
Hit 5.31%Wt 0.183
Aaron Gordon
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$15.30
Floor
$17.00
Mint 350
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.113
Buddy Hield
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 350
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.07
Ben Simmons
Season Tip-off
RARE2
FMV
$7.20
Floor
$8.00
Mint 350
Hit 2.45%Wt 0.085
Deni Avdija
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$7.20
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.056
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$5.10
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.82%Wt 0.028
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$4.75
Floor
$2.00
Mint 7,500
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.113
Cole Anthony
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$2.09
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.042
James Wiseman
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.71
Floor
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.27%Wt 0.113
Isaac Okoro
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.80
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.099
Precious Achiuwa
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.099
Kevin Durant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.96
Floor
$0.90
Mint 7,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.099
Killian Hayes
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.89
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.07
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.87
Floor
$0.57
Mint 7,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.07
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.53
Mint 7,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.099
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.61
Floor
$0.23
Mint 15,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.099