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NBA Top Shot · Pack #561
Top Shot 50 (Release 1)
Legendary9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2,998
Actual EV
—
≈ $90.15 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2,998 ask
Typical Pull
$2.07
Grail premium $88.08 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2,998 ask
FMV coverage
100%
115 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
33
of 1,778 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.9%unopened
Legendary33 / 1,778 (1.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Rare33 / 1,778 (1.9%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common231 / 12,455 (1.9%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 33 / 1,778 | 11% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 33 / 1,778 | 11% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 231 / 12,455 | 78% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 115 of 115 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luka Dončić
Reel · Dec 28, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$315
Recent Low
$350
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Dec 25, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$93.00
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Joel Embiid
Reel · Nov 14, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$89.00
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$85.50
Recent Low
$95.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.35%Wt 0.013
Devin Booker
Reel · Dec 18, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$79.20
Recent Low
$88.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Ja Morant
Dunk · Jan 15, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$75.00
Recent Low
$139
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Dejounte Murray
Steal · Feb 25, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$54.00
Recent Low
$60.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Jamal Murray
3 Pointer · Dec 9, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$53.46
Recent Low
$53.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Jan 8, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$50.00
Recent Low
$70.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.35%Wt 0.013
Kyle Kuzma
3 Pointer · Jan 12, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$50.00
Recent Low
$56.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Jrue Holiday
Reel · Feb 15, 2023
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$42.00
Recent Low
$69.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Draymond Green
Block · Dec 3, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Dec 31, 2022
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$27.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
LaMelo Ball
Handles · Feb 16, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.02
Keegan Murray
Dunk · Jan 21, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Scottie Barnes
Block · Mar 1, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Immanuel Quickley
Layup · Mar 6, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Alperen Şengün
Assist · Jan 22, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Bam Adebayo
Handles · Nov 15, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Mark Williams
Dunk · Feb 26, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.003
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Block · Dec 3, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Darius Garland
Assist · Jan 22, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Kawhi Leonard
3 Pointer · Jan 22, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Jeremy Sochan
Steal · Nov 10, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007