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NBA Top Shot · Pack #561
Top Shot 50 (Release 1)
Legendary9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2,998
Actual EV
—
≈ $487 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2,998
Typical Pull
$144
Grail premium $343 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2,998
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
34
of 1,778 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 22h ago1.9%unopened
Legendary34 / 1,778 (1.9%)
Rare34 / 1,778 (1.9%)
Common899 / 12,455 (7.2%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 34 / 1,778 | 3.5% | ~1 in 4 |
| Rare | 34 / 1,778 | 3.5% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 899 / 12,455 | 93% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Luka Dončić
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$450
Floor
$500
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Ja Morant
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$211
Floor
$94.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Devin Booker
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$155
Floor
$60.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$115
Floor
$66.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.029
De'Aaron Fox
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$94.50
Floor
$105
Mint 99
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.118
Joel Embiid
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 99
Hit 6.58%Wt 0.147
Dejounte Murray
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$87.00
Floor
$54.00
Mint 99
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.088
Jayson Tatum
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$84.60
Floor
$78.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Zach LaVine
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$81.00
Floor
$90.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.029
Jamal Murray
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$80.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Kyle Kuzma
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$67.50
Floor
$75.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Lauri Markkanen
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$49.29
Floor
$40.00
Mint 99
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.118
Draymond Green
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$48.95
Floor
$89.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.029
Jrue Holiday
Top Shot 50
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$39.75
Floor
$33.00
Mint 99
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.088
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$16.00
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 6.58%Wt 0.147
Keegan Murray
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$15.00
Floor
$13.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.088
LaMelo Ball
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$13.20
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 7.89%Wt 0.176
Scottie Barnes
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$12.22
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Bam Adebayo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$11.33
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Alperen Şengün
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$10.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Immanuel Quickley
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.95%Wt 0.088
Jeremy Sochan
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Kawhi Leonard
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059
Darius Garland
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$7.75
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.059