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NBA Top Shot · Pack #562
Rookie Revelation
Legendary9 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$530
Actual EV
—
≈ $818 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $530
Typical Pull
$497
Grail premium $321 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $530
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
37
of 1,347 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 23h ago2.7%unopened
Legendary37 / 1,343 (2.8%)
Rare37 / 1,347 (2.7%)
Common259 / 9,429 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
9 slots/pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 37 / 1,343 | 11% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 37 / 1,347 | 11% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 259 / 9,429 | 78% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 9 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Paolo Banchero
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$945
Floor
$1,050
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Jalen Duren
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$242
Floor
$210
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Jalen Williams
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$236
Floor
$278
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Shaedon Sharpe
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$123
Floor
$90.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Walker Kessler
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$102
Floor
$75.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Dyson Daniels
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$99.00
Floor
$110
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Ousmane Dieng
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$90.00
Floor
$100
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Bennedict Mathurin
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$90.00
Floor
$100
Mint 75
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Jaden Ivey
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 75
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.108
Jaden Hardy
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Mark Williams
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$87.50
Floor
$85.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Andrew Nembhard
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$84.25
Floor
$82.00
Mint 75
Hit 6.45%Wt 0.108
Tari Eason
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$80.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Jeremy Sochan
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$66.25
Floor
$58.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Johnny Davis
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$55.25
Floor
$51.00
Mint 75
Hit 9.68%Wt 0.162
Malaki Branham
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$54.40
Floor
$64.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Ochai Agbaji
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARY5
FMV
$52.70
Floor
$62.00
Mint 75
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Jalen Duren
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$35.00
Floor
$22.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.84%Wt 0.081
Walker Kessler
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$21.68
Floor
$15.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
Steph Curry
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.027
James Harden
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$11.25
Floor
$8.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.84%Wt 0.081
Jaylen Brown
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054
Brandon Ingram
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$9.90
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.84%Wt 0.081
Franz Wagner
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.054