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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5640
Phantom Threads: Guaranteed Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$47.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $12.68 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $47.00 ask
Typical Pull
$15.00
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $47.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
13
of 720 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago1.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 36 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0
Rare27 / 1,512 (1.8%)
208 per 100 sealed packs · launch 210 · ≈ launch rate
Common12 / 612 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 36 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 27 / 1,512 | 69% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 12 / 612 | 31% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Allen Iverson
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2009
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Dikembe Mutombo
Dunk · Jun 6, 2003
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.077
Tracy McGrady
Jump Shot · Feb 21, 2010
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.50
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.077
Robert Parish
Dunk · Apr 19, 1996
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.077
Muggsy Bogues
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1987
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Feb 22, 2015
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.26%Wt 0.103
Gary Payton
Layup · Jan 17, 2004
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.077
Chris Mullin
3 Pointer · Apr 23, 1998
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Rajon Rondo
Assist · Dec 27, 2017
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.65
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Antoine Walker
Jump Shot · Jan 28, 2004
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Joakim Noah
Dunk · Feb 10, 2019
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.80
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Ben Wallace
Dunk · Jan 19, 2008
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Jabari Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Amen Thompson
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Apr 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
James Harden
Layup · Mar 24, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Russell Westbrook
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Tari Eason
Dunk · Mar 31, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.051
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Dec 8, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.077
Andrew Wiggins
Layup · Mar 23, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026