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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5640
Phantom Threads: Guaranteed Hit
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$47.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $44.78 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $47.00
Typical Pull
$40.80
Grail premium $3.98 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $47.00
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
13
of 720 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 1d ago1.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 36 (0.0%)
Rare27 / 1,512 (1.8%)
Common12 / 612 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 36 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 27 / 1,512 | 69% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 12 / 612 | 31% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
RareHit 5.13%
Muggsy Bogues
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
$39.59
RareHit 2.56%
Allen Iverson
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
$30.33
RareHit 2.56%
Ben Wallace
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
$18.90
RareHit 10.26%
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
$17.00
RareHit 5.13%
Antoine Walker
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
$16.20
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Muggsy Bogues
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$39.59
Floor
$43.99
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
Allen Iverson
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$30.33
Floor
$23.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Ben Wallace
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$18.90
Floor
$21.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 10.26%Wt 0.308
Antoine Walker
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$16.20
Floor
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
Tracy McGrady
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$16.15
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.231
Dikembe Mutombo
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$14.45
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.231
Gary Payton
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$13.60
Floor
$16.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.231
Chris Mullin
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Robert Parish
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$9.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.231
Joakim Noah
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
Rajon Rondo
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$7.20
Floor
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Amen Thompson
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Russell Westbrook
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Brandon Clarke
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.69%Wt 0.231
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Tari Eason
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.13%Wt 0.154
Andrew Wiggins
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Jabari Smith Jr.
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON7
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.077