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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5643
Legacy Threads: Premium Guaranteed Hit
Legendary4 slots
Pack price
$525
Retail $299
Actual EV
—
≈ $49.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $525 ask
Typical Pull
$20.00
Grail premium $29.86 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $525 ask
FMV coverage
100%
20 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
7
of 249 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago2.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.40
Legendary7 / 274 (2.6%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 110 · ≈ launch rate
Rare15 / 535 (2.8%)
214 per 100 sealed packs · launch 215 · ≈ launch rate
Common6 / 186 (3.2%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 7 / 274 | 25% | ~1 in 1 |
| Rare | 15 / 535 | 54% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 6 / 186 | 21% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
LegendaryHit 3.33%
Chauncey Billups
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
$43.00
LegendaryHit 6.67%
Kenny Smith
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
$40.00
LegendaryHit 3.33%
Doug Christie
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
$40.00
LegendaryHit 3.33%
Mark Jackson
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
$39.00
LegendaryHit 3.33%
Jason Kidd
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
$37.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 20 of 20 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Chauncey Billups
Layup · Oct 30, 2002
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$43.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Kenny Smith
Layup · Nov 2, 1990
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 75
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.286
Doug Christie
Jump Shot · Oct 31, 2000
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Mark Jackson
Jump Shot · Nov 5, 1994
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$39.00
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Jason Kidd
Assist · Oct 31, 2001
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$37.00
Recent Low
$31.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Chris Paul
Jump Shot · Dec 26, 2011
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$34.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 75
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Allen Iverson
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2009
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Tracy McGrady
Jump Shot · Feb 21, 2010
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.50
Mint 299
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.429
Robert Parish
Dunk · Apr 19, 1996
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Muggsy Bogues
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 1987
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.286
Chris Mullin
3 Pointer · Apr 23, 1998
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 13.33%Wt 0.571
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Feb 22, 2015
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Gary Payton
Layup · Jan 17, 2004
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Rajon Rondo
Assist · Dec 27, 2017
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.65
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Antoine Walker
Jump Shot · Jan 28, 2004
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.286
Ben Wallace
Dunk · Jan 19, 2008
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Apr 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.429
James Harden
Layup · Mar 24, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Dec 8, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.143