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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5777

Run It Back: 1970s Hit Pack (Wave 1)

Rare1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$49.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

383

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

383

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 73% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Connie Hawkins · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	30.00%	$11.25	27.4%
Wes Unseld · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	20.00%	$14.40	23.4%
Calvin Murphy · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	20.00%	$10.80	17.5%
David Thompson · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	10.00%	$14.25	11.6%
Bob McAdoo · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	10.00%	$13.33

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $419 · 6mo agoRetail $49.00462 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$49.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $12.32 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

Typical Pull

$11.25

Grail premium $1.07 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

FMV coverage

100%

6 editions

Depletion

98%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 600 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 17h ago

1.7%unopened

10 / 600 packs

Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)

Rare10 / 596 (1.7%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 17h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Ultimate	0 / 4	0.0%	depleted
Rare	10 / 596	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 6

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Connie Hawkins	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	3.00%	$11.25	$0.34
Wes Unseld	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	2.00%	$14.40	$0.29
Calvin Murphy	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	2.00%	$10.80	$0.22
David Thompson	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	1.00%	$14.25	$0.14
Bob McAdoo	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	1.00%	$13.33	$0.13
Elvin Hayes	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	1.00%	$11.50	$0.12

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 6:07:44 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.