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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5777
Run It Back: 1970s Hit Pack (Wave 1)
Rare1 slot
Pack price
$49.00
Retail $29.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.00 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.00 ask
Typical Pull
$8.00
Grail premium $1.00 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
7 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
10
of 600 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.67
Rare10 / 596 (1.7%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 99 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 4 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 10 / 596 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 7 of 7 (100%)Moses Malone
Dunk · Oct 18, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.1
Bob McAdoo
Dunk · Apr 18, 1975
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.1
Elvin Hayes
Dunk · Apr 30, 1979
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.1
Connie Hawkins
Reel · Dec 26, 1970
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 27.27%Wt 0.3
Wes Unseld
Assist · Mar 12, 1979
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 18.18%Wt 0.2
Calvin Murphy
Assist · Dec 13, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 18.18%Wt 0.2
David Thompson
Dunk · Jan 23, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 9.09%Wt 0.1