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Home › NBA Top Shot › Run It Back: 1970s Hit Pack (Wave 2) NBA Top Shot · Pack #5778
Run It Back: 1970s Hit Pack (Wave 2) Rare 1 slot
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$49.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $49.00
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
4
of 600 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 67d ago
Pull odds by tier 1 slots/pack · as of 67d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Ultimate 0 / 4 0.0% depleted Rare 4 / 596 100% ~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside pullable editions FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (12)
💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
371
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
371
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$61.63
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$8.80
per pack we could price
Sealed (observed)
1
still unopened
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
Edition Tier Pull % FMV EV share Moses Malone · Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $38.92 63.7% Dave Cowens · Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $9.80 16.0% Bob Lanier · Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $6.60 10.8% Connie Hawkins · Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $5.75 9.4%
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sealed pack resale Last $29.00 · 4mo ago Retail $49.00 405 sales
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 4 of 0 Player Set Tier Drop % FMV Edition EV Moses Malone Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $38.92 $9.73 Dave Cowens Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00% $9.80 $2.45 Bob Lanier Run It Back: 1970s RARE 25.00%
Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 9/22/2026, 3:25:00 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
