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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5778

Run It Back: 1970s Hit Pack (Wave 2)

Rare1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$49.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

371

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

371

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 100% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Moses Malone · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$72.50	70.9%
Bob Lanier · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$15.30	15.0%
Dave Cowens · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$8.50	8.3%
Connie Hawkins · Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$5.95	5.8%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $29.00 (90d)Last $29.00 · 3mo agoRetail $49.00405 sales · 1 in 90d

trades 0.59× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$49.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

99%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 600 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 20d ago

0.7%unopened

4 / 600 packs

Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)

Rare4 / 596 (0.7%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 20d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Ultimate	0 / 4	0.0%	depleted
Rare	4 / 596	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 4 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Moses Malone	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$72.50	$18.13
Bob Lanier	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$15.30	$3.83
Dave Cowens	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$8.50	$2.13
Connie Hawkins	Run It Back: 1970s	RARE	25.00%	$5.95	$1.49

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/6/2026, 1:25:00 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.