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NBA Top Shot · Pack #581
Road to Royalty
Legendary10 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$1,499
Actual EV
—
≈ $382 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1,499 ask
Typical Pull
$2.50
Grail premium $379 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $1,499 ask
FMV coverage
100%
34 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
8
of 320 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago2.5%unopened
Legendary8 / 320 (2.5%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Rare16 / 640 (2.5%)
200 per 100 sealed packs · launch 200 · ≈ launch rate
Common56 / 2,240 (2.5%)
Pull odds by tier
10 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 8 / 320 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Rare | 16 / 640 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 56 / 2,240 | 70% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 10 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 34 of 34 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jackie Young
Layup · Oct 12, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$1,035
Recent Low
$1,150
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Kelsey Plum
Layup · Oct 8, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$405
Recent Low
$450
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Satou Sabally
3 Pointer · Sep 16, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$404
Recent Low
$449
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Kahleah Copper
3 Pointer · Sep 17, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$315
Recent Low
$350
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Rhyne Howard
Handles · Sep 16, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$293
Recent Low
$325
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
DeWanna Bonner
Handles · Sep 21, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$257
Recent Low
$285
Mint 27
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Chelsea Gray
Steal · Oct 12, 2023
Road To Royalty
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$91.00
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 27
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
A'ja Wilson
Reel · Aug 22, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Allisha Gray
Layup · Jun 30, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$12.99
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 199
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Courtney Vandersloot
Layup · Jun 25, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.99
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Diamond Miller
Layup · Jul 2, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.25
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 199
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Kahleah Copper
Layup · Aug 30, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Ezi Magbegor
Layup · Aug 6, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 199
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Brittney Griner
Dunk · Jul 9, 2023
WNBA Metallic Gold LE 2023
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Lexie Hull
Layup · Jul 9, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
Layup · Aug 4, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.063
Sabrina Ionescu
3 Pointer · Sep 7, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Elizabeth Williams
Block · Aug 5, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Layshia Clarendon
Assist · Aug 8, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 7.50%Wt 0.075
Jordin Canada
3 Pointer · Jul 26, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Natasha Howard
Layup · Aug 5, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 6.25%Wt 0.063
Cheyenne Parker
Steal · Aug 18, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Breanna Stewart
Jump Shot · May 31, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Brittney Sykes
Layup · Sep 10, 2023
WNBA 2023
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038