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NBA Top Shot · Pack #591
Throwdowns (Series 3)
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$75.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $38.18 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $75.00
Typical Pull
$33.55
Grail premium $4.63 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (99% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $75.00
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
99%
live pool
Packs remaining
275
of 18,638 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 14h ago1.5%unopened
Rare293 / 18,638 (1.6%)
Common3,060 / 74,552 (4.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 14h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 293 / 18,638 | 8.7% | ~1 in 3 |
| Common | 3,060 / 74,552 | 91% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)LeBron James
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$18.77
Floor
$12.00
Mint 888
Hit 7.38%Wt 0.08
Luka Dončić
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$12.29
Floor
$10.00
Mint 888
Hit 8.72%Wt 0.095
Austin Reaves
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$8.93
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.004
Paul George
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$8.92
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.03%Wt 0.044
Isaac Okoro
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$7.84
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.03%Wt 0.044
DeMar DeRozan
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$7.81
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 6.38%Wt 0.069
Andrew Wiggins
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$7.70
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 5.03%Wt 0.055
Jaylen Brown
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$7.50
Floor
$6.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.036
Wendell Carter Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$6.91
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 5.70%Wt 0.062
Jayson Tatum
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$6.71
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.036
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$6.54
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.03%Wt 0.044
Naz Reid
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$6.33
Floor
$6.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.036
Alex Caruso
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$5.29
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.047
Jordan Clarkson
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$5.22
Floor
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 5.70%Wt 0.062
Derrick Jones Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.77
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.047
Gary Payton II
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.72
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 5.70%Wt 0.062
Doug McDermott
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.60
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 6.71%Wt 0.073
Malik Monk
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 4.03%Wt 0.044
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 2.01%Wt 0.022
Myles Turner
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.20
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.69%Wt 0.04
Daniel Gafford
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$3.95
Mint 888
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.036
De'Aaron Fox
Throwdowns
RARE4
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 3.02%Wt 0.033
Josh Giddey
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.38
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.004
Jalen Green
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$2.73
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.34%Wt 0.004