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NBA Top Shot · Pack #591
Throwdowns (Series 3)
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$69.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $6.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $69.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.95
Grail premium $5.91 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $69.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
217 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 22h ago
Packs remaining
272
of 18,638 minted · as of 22h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 22h ago1.5%unopened
Rare272 / 18,638 (1.5%)
100 per 100 sealed packs · launch 100 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,088 / 74,552 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 272 / 18,638 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 1,088 / 74,552 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 217 of 217 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 10, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$19.95
Mint 888
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Luka Dončić
Dunk · Feb 5, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Austin Reaves
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$7.36
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.07%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 25, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.83
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Naz Reid
Dunk · Feb 9, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.59
Mint 888
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Mar 13, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
DeMar DeRozan
Dunk · Feb 2, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.05
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Gary Payton II
Dunk · Nov 11, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.85
Mint 888
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Nov 25, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.64
Mint 888
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Alex Caruso
Dunk · Nov 28, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Isaac Okoro
Dunk · Dec 16, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.59
Mint 888
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Malik Monk
Dunk · Mar 4, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.27
Mint 888
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Nov 11, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.93
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.10%Wt 0.011
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Dec 26, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.93
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Paul George
Dunk · Nov 21, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.80
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Jordan Clarkson
Dunk · Dec 24, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.74
Recent Low
$3.74
Mint 888
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Doug McDermott
Dunk · Jan 26, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.53
Recent Low
$3.92
Mint 888
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.014
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Mar 5, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.27
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.96%Wt 0.01
Myles Turner
Dunk · Jan 5, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.24
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Feb 10, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.08
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Daniel Gafford
Dunk · Nov 28, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Dunk · Dec 4, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.84%Wt 0.018
Nikola Vučević
Dunk · Feb 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
